Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 17

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Recanatese		Cesena

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.9	1.46
	6.5	4.2	1.45	Watch
	7.21	4.21	1.47
	7.21	4.21	1.47
	6.5	4	1.44
	6.5	4.1	1.42
	6.2	3.95	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.55 ↑ (4.95)	4.08 ↑ (3.39)	1.45 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recanatese
14.1%

Draw
22.6%

Cesena
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

26.7%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

25.8%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cesena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cesena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Recanatese - Cesena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meli G. (G) 13. Ricci L. 14. Ferrante E. 54. Peretti M. 25. Longobardi G. 16. Morrone B. 8. Carpani G. 3. Quacquarelli G. 21. Giampaolo D. 11. Lipari M. 10. Sbaffo A.	1. Pisseri M. (G) 73. Pieraccini S. 19. Prestia G. 28. Silvestri L. 17. Adamo E. 70. Francesconi M. 20. De Rose F. 7. Donnarumma D. 14. Berti T. 10. Kargbo A. 9. Shpendi C.
Substitutes
30. Canonici G. 17. Egharevba D. 37. Ferretti D. 6. Gomez F. 22. Mascolo N. (G) 9. Melchiorri F. 4. Prisco A. 24. Raparo M. 7. Senigagliesi L. 12. Tiberi T.	46. Bagli G. 6. Bumbu J. 4. Chiarello R. 13. Coccolo L. 18. Corazza S. 25. David A. 30. Giovannini A. 8. Hraiech S. 11. Ogunseye R. 26. Piacentini M. 24. Pierozzi E. 3. Pitti E. 61. Siano A. (G) 5. Varone I.
Coaches
Pagliari G.	Toscano D.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Recent matches Recanatese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cesena is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recanatese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cesena is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Recanatese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Recanatese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group B
02.12.23	Carrarese - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
27.11.23	Recanatese - Pineto	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Ancona - Recanatese	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Recanatese - Olbia	4:1 ✺
06.11.23	Recanatese - Sestri Levante	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTLWT
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
02.12.23	Cesena - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.11.23	Cesena - Rimini	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.11.23	Pescara - Cesena	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Cesena - Lucchese	3:0 ✺
16.11.23	Virtus Entella - Cesena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
31.01.23	Recanatese - Cesena	0:3
02.10.22	Cesena - Recanatese	2:0
Italian Serie D - Group F
24.02.19	Recanatese - Cesena	2:1
04.11.18	Cesena - Recanatese	0:1

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