Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 16

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Carrarese		Recanatese

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.75	5.75
	1.5	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.54	3.81	6.45
	1.55	3.81	6.45
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.49	3.76	6.05
	1.5	3.7	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.85)	3.76 ↑ (3.28)	6.27 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
61.1%

Draw
24.3%

Recanatese
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

28%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

27.1%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carrarese's performance.

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Recanatese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carrarese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Recanatese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carrarese - Recanatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 4. Illanes J. 21. Coppolaro M. 3. Imperiale M. 72. Zanon S. 5. Della L. S. (C) 17. Zuelli E. 8. Palmieri R. 11. Cicconi M. 28. Capello A. 10. Panico G.	1. Meli G. (G) 14. Ferrante E. 54. Peretti M. 13. Ricci L. 28. Mane M. 4. Prisco A. 8. Carpani G. 6. Gomez F. 3. Quacquarelli G. 10. Sbaffo A. 9. Melchiorri F.
Substitutes
39. Belloni N. 26. Cartano R. 6. Cerretelli F. 15. Di Gennaro M. 22. Mazzini S. (G) 20. Opoola M. 23. Raimo A. 18. Schiavi N. 12. Tampucci T. (G)	30. Canonici G. 17. Egharevba D. 37. Ferretti D. 21. Giampaolo D. 11. Lipari M. 22. Mascolo N. (G) 16. Morrone B. 7. Senigagliesi L. 12. Tiberi T. (G)

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Carrarese is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Recanatese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Carrarese is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
25.11.23	Perugia - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Carrarese - SPAL	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Juventus U23 - Carrarese	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Carrarese - Pescara	1:0 ✺
30.10.23	Cesena - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWWL
- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group B
27.11.23	Recanatese - Pineto	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Ancona - Recanatese	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Recanatese - Olbia	4:1 ✺
06.11.23	Recanatese - Sestri Levante	2:2 ✺
29.10.23	Pescara - Recanatese	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
08.01.23	Recanatese - Carrarese	4:2
11.09.22	Carrarese - Recanatese	3:1

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