The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Recreativo Huelva 41.8%
Draw 29.8%
Alcorcón 28.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
28.1%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
27.5%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Recreativo Huelva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Recreativo Huelva - Alcorcón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Galvez R. (G) 18. Perejon D. 4. Serrano R. 22. Navas R. 26. Davinchi 14. Del Pozo D. 24. Moreno Meca C. 8. Luis Alcalde 12. Nico Njalla 16. Caballero P. 11. Bekkouche C.
1. Ayesa G. (G) 22. Lachevre M. 2. Sebastian J. 4. Rojas J. 18. Stitch 12. Nunez J. 8. Ballesteros Y. 21. Llorente R. 16. Capitas M. 10. Rodriguez R. 7. Aparicio E.
Substitutes
15. Armero S. 20. Becken C. 21. Camara M. 13. Centurion G. (G) 17. Cerrudo J. 10. Dominguez A. 5. Galvez A. 6. Keita B. 3. Lopez A. 9. Quintana C. 7. Romero P. 23. Soto D.
6. Alonso I. 14. da Costa M. 13. Josele (G) 35. Llorente E. 17. Navarro S. 9. Perez E. 5. Rentero J. 30. Samu 27. Santiago A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Sebastian J. 🟨,
37', Caballero P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bekkouche C. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
49', Moreno Meca C. 🟨,
56', Stitch 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Caballero P. (Pen),
65', Caballero P. ↓, Quintana C. ↑,
66', Capitas M. 🟨,
67', Dominguez A. 🟨,
73', Ballesteros Y. ↓, Alonso I. ↑,
76', Lachevre M. 🟨,
80', Rodriguez R. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
80', Capitas M. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
80', Sebastian J. ↓, Rentero J. ↑,
81', Nico Njalla ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
85', Davinchi 🟨,
87', Stitch ↓, da Costa M. ↑,
90+1', Luis Alcalde ↓, Camara M. ↑,
90+1', Davinchi ↓, Becken C. ↑,
90+4', Navarro S. 🟨,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Recreativo won 2.
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
Recreativo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Recreativo won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.4:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Recreativo won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2:1).