#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Alcorcón 41.3%
Draw 30%
Real Madrid Castilla 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.8%
27.2%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
28.8%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Alcorcón - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ayesa G. (G) 22. Lachevre M. 2. Sebastian J. 4. Rojas J. 18. Stitch 21. Llorente R. 6. Alonso I. 16. Capitas M. 8. Ballesteros Y. 10. Rodriguez R. 7. Aparicio E.
13. Fran (G) 28. Ribes K. 5. Asencio R. 17. Ruiz D. 22. Jimenez D. 26. De Llanos H. 6. Andres C. 23. Yusi 27. Fortuny P. 19. Zuniga L. 7. Garcia G.
Substitutes
14. da Costa M. 13. Josele (G) 35. Llorente E. 23. Navarro D. 17. Navarro S. 12. Nunez J. 9. Perez E. 27. Santiago A.
16. Antonio David 21. De Leon J. 9. Munoz V. 1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 29. Rivas M. 37. Valdepenas V. 36. Yanez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Asencio R. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Aparicio E. ⚽,
36', Capitas M. 🟨,
39', Alonso I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Jimenez D. ⚽,
56', Fortuny P. 🟨,
62', Alonso I. ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
62', Ballesteros Y. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
65', Ribes K. 🟨,
70', Nunez J. 🟨,
72', 2 - 1, Llorente R. ⚽,
77', Yusi ↓, Valdepenas V. ↑,
78', Sebastian J. 🟨,
80', 🟨,
85', Zuniga L. ↓, De Leon J. ↑,
86', Andres C. 🟨,
89', Capitas M. ↓, da Costa M. ↑,
90+2', Navarro D. ↓, Santiago A. ↑,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 2.
Alcorcón has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Real Madrid Castilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Alcorcón will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.7:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.8:2).
Spain
Watch
#ad
Ayesa G. (G) 
Stitch 
Yusi 
Nunez J. 
De Leon J. 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
