Match Info

Copinha - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Walter Ribeiro (Sorocaba)


	Red Bull Bragantino U20		São Paulo U20

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.05	2.15
	3.4	3.26	2.03	Watch
	3.3	2.88	2.1
	3.46	3.1	2.04
	3.5	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.81)	3.08 ↓ (3.33)	2.06 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino U20
26.9%

Draw
29.3%

São Paulo U20
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

27.5%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

26.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Red Bull Bragantino U20's form might have worsened.

São Paulo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino U20 than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Red Bull Bragantino U20 - São Paulo U20 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. São Paulo U20 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Gabriel Lopes ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Lucyan ⚽,
90+2', Gonzales 🟥,
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, Lucyan (Penalty Awarded),
1, Rafael Lima (Penalty Awarded),
2, Luis Osorio (Penalty Awarded),
2, Filipinho (Penalty Awarded),
3, Guilherme Reis (Penalty Awarded),
3, Gabriel Lopes (Penalty Awarded),
4, Isac (Penalty Awarded),
4, Palacios (Penalty Awarded),
5, Santana G. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino U20 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 2.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino U20 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 3.3:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino U20
Brazilian Copinha
15.01.26	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - Canaã U20	5:1 ✺
13.01.26	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - Comercial Tietê U20	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - São Luís U20	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Cosmopolitano Sports U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	1:4 ✺
04.01.26	Figueirense U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWW
- São Paulo U20
Brazilian Copinha
15.01.26	São Paulo U20 - Operário Ferroviario U20	5:1 ✺
13.01.26	São Paulo U20 - Portuguesa SP U20	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Real Soccer U20 - São Paulo U20	1:6 ✺
07.01.26	Independente AP U20 - São Paulo U20	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	São Paulo U20 - Maruinense U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
21.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - São Paulo U20	0:0
Brazilian Paulista U20
03.11.24	São Paulo U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	1:0
28.10.24	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - São Paulo U20	4:4
Brasileiro U20
22.05.24	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - São Paulo U20	6:4

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