Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 2

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Salzburg)

Referee: Pfister D. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Germany	Sky Go Germany
Israel	5 GOLD Israel, 5 LIVE Israel
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Serbia	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
World	Onefootball


	Red Bull Salzburg		Grazer AK

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.28	5.5	9.75
	1.41	4.7	6.9
	1.42	4.84	7.92
	1.44	4.40	6.91	Watch
	1.29	5	9.5
	1.46	4.9	6.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.25)	4.87 ↓ (6.5)	7.74 ↓ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
68.3%

Draw
19.5%

Grazer AK
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.1%

14.4%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Red Bull Salzburg's form might have worsened.

Grazer AK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	28.6%	7.1%

Red Bull Salzburg - Grazer AK Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Salzburg will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Grazer will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Grazer (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 3 - 50%). Grazer (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schlager A. (G) 22. Lainer S. 44. Schuster J. 2. Rasmussen J. 3. Terzic A. 27. Alajbegovic K. 21. Ratkov P. 18. Bidstrup M. (C) 8. Kitano S. 28. Daghim A. 5. Diabate S.	1. Meierhofer J. (G) 3. Vraa-Jensen L. 15. Graf L. 82. Owusu B. 28. Frieser D. 8. Koch T. 6. Fofana S. 14. Italiano J. 22. Harakate R. 9. Maderner D. (C) 11. Cipot T.
Substitutes
43. Aguilar E. 20. Baidoo E. 15. Diambou M. 23. Gadou J. 92. Hamzic S. (G) 14. Kjaergaard M. 45. Nene D. 37. Trummer T. 11. Vertessen Y.	25. Hofleitner A. 18. Jano Z. 4. Kreuzriegler M. 10. Lichtenberger C. 26. Nicht C. (G) 5. Pines D. 7. Satin M. 17. Schiestl T. 20. Schriebl T.
Coaches
Letsch T.	Feldhofer F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Fofana S. 🟥,
25', Kitano S. ↓, Kjaergaard M. ↑,
27', Maderner D. ↓, Jano Z. ↑,
27', Cipot T. ↓, Satin M. ↑,
45+6', 1 - 0, Alajbegovic K. ⚽, Diabate S. (A),
45+7', Daghim A. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Diabate S. ↓, Nene D. ↑,
46', Daghim A. ↓, Vertessen Y. ↑,
46', Harakate R. ↓, Hofleitner A. ↑,
46', Hofleitner A. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Kjaergaard M. ⚽, Hamzic S. (A),
62', Vraa-Jensen L. ↓, Pines D. ↑,
67', Lainer S. ↓, Trummer T. ↑,
73', Bidstrup M. ↓, Diambou M. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Vertessen Y. ⚽, Trummer T. (A),
80', 4 - 0, Ratkov P. (Pen),
82', 5 - 0, Vertessen Y. ⚽, Alajbegovic K. (A),
84', Italiano J. ↓, Schiestl T. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Grazer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Grazer has had a series of home games.

In this match, Salzburg is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Salzburg: Chase A. (Groin Injury) Kawamura T. (Knee Injury) Konate K. (Knee Injury) Kratzig F. (Red Card) Mellberg J. (Knee Injury) Omoregie J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sulzbacher V. (Thigh Injury) Yeo M. K. (Knee Injury) Zawieschitzky C. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Grazer: Italiano J. (Injury) Koch T. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
UEFA Champions League
06.08.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Club Brugge	0:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.08.25	Ried - Red Bull Salzburg	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.07.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Brann	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.07.25	Union Dietach - Red Bull Salzburg	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.07.25	Brann - Red Bull Salzburg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTWW
- Grazer AK
Austrian Bundesliga
03.08.25	Grazer AK - Austria Wien	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Grazer AK - Floridsdorfer AC	0:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
25.07.25	Dornbirn - Grazer AK	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Grazer AK - Kapfenberger SV	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Grazer AK - Žilina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
02.11.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Grazer AK	0:0
02.08.24	Grazer AK - Red Bull Salzburg	2:3
Club Friendly
04.02.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Grazer AK	3:4
Austrian OFB Cup
03.04.19	Grazer AK - Red Bull Salzburg	0:6

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