Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Salzburg)

Referee: Sadikovski A. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Croatia	SportKlub 10
Germany	Laola1, Sky Go Germany
Russia	TV Start Triumph
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Red Bull Salzburg		Hartberg

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.00	9.00	Watch
	1.32	5.25	8.25
	1.30	5.10	8.50
	1.33	6.05	9.33
	1.27	6.03	9.89	Watch
	1.29	5.70	9.25
	1.36	5.09	9.17	Watch
	1.30	5.60	8.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.35)	5.48 ↑ (4.97)	8.95 ↑ (7.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
72.2%

Draw
17.2%

Hartberg
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.8%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

19.1%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Hartberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Red Bull Salzburg - Hartberg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Red Bull Salzburg will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Zawieschitzky C. (G) 18. Veratschnig N. (C) 44. Boma K. 47. Zabransky V. 31. Schmid D. 5. Diabate S. 32. Barry A. 23. Redzic D. 30. Diakite G. 43. Aguilar E. 11. Vertessen Y.	91. Pecsi A. (G) 18. Wilfinger F. 14. Komposch P. 27. Schopp K. 6. Coulibaly H. 28. Gerstl F. 23. Kainz T. (C) 4. Markus B. 5. Diarra Y. 22. Hoffmann M. 8. Postl M.
Substitutes
33. Camara A. 21. Drexler T. 14. Kjaergaard M. 19. Konate K. 13. Kratzig F. 15. Mazurek B. 39. Morgalla L. 41. Sarcevic N. (G) 9. Tabakovic H.	16. Dalpiaz M. 11. Drew J. 95. Feldhofer N. 7. Gattermayer A. 17. Karner J. 21. Maric L. (G) 2. Pazourek L. 19. Spendlhofer L. 9. Urrutia A.
Coaches
Rohl D.	Schopp M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gerstl F. ↓, Pazourek L. ↑,
46', Postl M. ↓, Gattermayer A. ↑,
60', Vertessen Y. ↓, Tabakovic H. ↑,
69', Barry A. ↓, Konate K. ↑,
70', Aguilar E. ↓, Mazurek B. ↑,
71', Hoffmann M. ↓, Urrutia A. ↑,
80', Diakite G. ↓, Kratzig F. ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Konate K. ⚽, Schmid D. (A),
90', Diarra Y. ↓, Feldhofer N. ↑,
90', Wilfinger F. ↓, Drew J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 3.

Recent performances by Salzburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hartberg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hartberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Salzburg is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 57:16. (average 2.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Salzburg won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 26:8. (average 2.9:0.9).

Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now

Salzburg: 53.42% Hartberg: 0.56%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Salzburg	7	5	2	0	18:4	14	17
6	Hartberg	7	2	2	3	10:13	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian OFB Cup
25.07.26	Oberwart - Red Bull Salzburg	1:7 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Mamelodi Sundowns	Canceled ✺
15.07.26	Red Bull Salzburg - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2 ✺
15.07.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Gamba Osaka	0:3 ✺
09.07.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Kharkiv	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 W?LLW
- TSV Hartberg
Austrian OFB Cup
26.07.26	Imst - Hartberg	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Hartberg - ASK Voitsberg	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Hartberg - First Vienna	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Hartberg - Příbram	3:0 ✺
08.07.26	Hartberg - Zbrojovka Brno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
17.05.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Hartberg	1:3
05.04.26	Hartberg - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2
01.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Hartberg	0:0
16.08.25	Hartberg - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2
04.12.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Hartberg	4:0
30.11.24	Hartberg - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1
12.05.24	Hartberg - Red Bull Salzburg	1:5

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