Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free


	Red Star		Annecy

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	4.2	Watch
	2	3.3	3.7
	1.85	3.3	4.15
	1.87	3.46	4.63
	1.93	3.18	4.22	Watch
	2	3.2	3.6
	1.92	3.4	4.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.1)	3.31 ↓ (3.31)	4.1 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
48.9%

Draw
28.3%

Annecy
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.4%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

29%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Annecy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Star that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Red Star - Annecy Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Red Star (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Red Star (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Red Star will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Red Star (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Poussin G. (G) 20. Durivaux D. 24. Lemonnier P. 3. Huard M. 22. Sylla D. 98. Hachem R. (C) 8. Eickmayer J. 11. Cisse K. 10. Khaoui S. E. 23. Ikanga J. 7. Durand D.	1. Escales F. (G) 27. Kouadio J. 6. Lajugie F. 26. Makutungu C. 41. Delphis T. 17. Pajot V. 5. Kashi A. (C) 22. Billemaz C. 9. Rambaud T. 8. Hbouch A. 11. Neelakandan R.
Substitutes
29. Benali H. 1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 27. Danger B. 21. Hachem A. 17. Renel S. 4. Sanda J. 25. Trani G.	16. Callens T. (G) 33. Paris Q. 34. Riou E. 20. Tiendrebeogo J. 23. Veillon M. 25. Venot P. 35. Yahi A.
Coaches
Poirier G.	Guyot L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Durand D. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Rambaud T. ↓, Paris Q. ↑,
61', Neelakandan R. ↓, Venot P. ↑,
61', Delphis T. ↓, Veillon M. ↑,
70', Venot P. 🟨,
70', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Danger B. ↑,
80', Lajugie F. ↓, Tiendrebeogo J. ↑,
81', Durand D. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
81', Ikanga J. ↓, Hachem A. ↑,
84', Hbouch A. ↓, Yahi A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 1.

In recent matches, Red Star has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Annecy is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Red Star could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) Escartin J. (Injury)

There will not play in Annecy: Drouhin A. (Ankle Injury) Jusseron-Veniere K. (Inactive) Larose A. (Inactive) N'Sakala F. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Red Star won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
23.08.25	Guingamp - Red Star	0:4 ✺
15.08.25	Red Star - Amiens	1:3 ✺
09.08.25	Montpellier - Red Star	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Amiens - Red Star	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Metz - Red Star	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLTWL
- Annecy FC
French Ligue 2
22.08.25	Amiens - Annecy	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Annecy - Dunkerque	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Pau - Annecy	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.25	Clermont - Annecy	1:0 ✺
30.07.25	Palermo - Annecy	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
11.04.25	Red Star - Annecy	0:1
04.10.24	Annecy - Red Star	1:0
French Ligue 3
21.02.22	Red Star - Annecy	3:0
10.09.21	Annecy - Red Star	6:0
23.04.21	Annecy - Red Star	0:0
04.12.20	Red Star - Annecy	2:1

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