Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp)

Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3


	Guingamp		Red Star

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.40	3.40	2.75
	2.32	3.3	2.8	Watch
	2.43	3.56	2.93
	2.41	3.56	2.73	Watch
	2.35	3.45	2.8
	2.37	3.42	2.81	Watch
	2.35	3.35	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.29)	3.39 ↑ (3.38)	2.79 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guingamp
39.2%

Draw
27.4%

Red Star
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

27.6%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

26.4%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Guingamp - Red Star Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Ortola A. (G) 2. Koffi E. 7. Gomis D. 24. Dianganga J. 5. Ollila T. 11. Averlant T. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 25. Ducrocq T. 20. Ben Brahim S. 21. Ahile T. 22. Bokangu B.	16. Poussin G. (G) 2. Magnin T. 20. Durivaux D. 5. Escartin J. 3. Huard M. 6. Danger B. 19. Halifa I. 27. Kyeremeh G. 10. Khaoui S. 7. Durand D. (C) 23. Ikanga J.
Substitutes
1. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 23. Chamakh J. 36. Demouchy A. 18. Kielt S. 31. Matondo J. 3. Matumona J. 39. Muntu Wa Mungu V. 17. Samoura A. 8. Sanchez Da Silva F.	1. Benchaouch Y. (G) 25. Buta L. 91. Cabral K. 11. Cisse K. 9. Despotovic I. 14. Diawara M. 17. Renel S. 21. Sabaly I. 4. Zidane E.
Coaches
Ripoll S.	Perrinelle D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', Koffi E. 🟨,
12', Gomis D. 🟥,
15', Ducrocq T. ↓, Demouchy A. ↑,
24', 0 - 1, Durand D. ⚽, Halifa I. (A),
29', Dianganga J. 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Ikanga J. ⚽, Halifa I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ahile T. ↓, Chamakh J. ↑,
46', Averlant T. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
46', Ollila T. ↓, Muntu Wa Mungu V. ↑,
50', Khaoui S. 🟨,
62', Kyeremeh G. ↓, Cisse K. ↑,
62', Halifa I. ↓, Diawara M. ↑,
62', Khaoui S. ↓, Renel S. ↑,
66', Dianganga J. ↓, Samoura A. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Koffi E. ⚽, Muntu Wa Mungu V. (A),
69', 1 - 3, Durand D. ⚽, Ikanga J. (A),
70', Ikanga J. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
72', Danger B. 🟨,
79', Danger B. ↓, Sabaly I. ↑,
81', Durivaux D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 10th and 4th in the Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ PlayoffsSemi~finals)).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Guingamp may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Guingamp: Hemia A. (Inactive) Matumona J. (Inactive) N'Landu D. (Knee Injury) Ott G. (Knee Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Red Star: Lemonnier P. (Injury).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Guingamp has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:14 (averaging 1.5:3.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guingamp against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:8 goals (averaging 1.5:4 per game).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Red Star: 4.92% Guingamp: 2.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Red Star	7	4	2	1	9:7	2	14
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10:12	-2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Red Star - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.56%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
12.09.26	Guingamp - Annecy	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Reims - Guingamp	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Guingamp - Nantes	3:3 ✺
21.08.26	Sochaux - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Guingamp - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTTLW
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
14.09.26	Red Star - Metz	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Laval - Red Star	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Red Star - Reims	1:4 ✺
21.08.26	Boulogne - Red Star	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Red Star - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
24.04.26	Red Star - Guingamp	3:2
23.08.25	Guingamp - Red Star	0:4
01.03.25	Red Star - Guingamp	3:1
30.08.24	Guingamp - Red Star	3:4

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