Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 7

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)


	Red Star		Avranches

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5	Watch
	1.68	3.78	5.31
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.65	3.88	4.75	Watch
	1.58	3.8	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.53)	3.81 ↑ (3.5)	5.02 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
57.3%

Draw
24.2%

Avranches
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

25.7%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

24.7%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Avranches has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avranches than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Red Star - Avranches Predictions

Users Predictions: Red Star will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 29. Benali H. 11. Cisse K. 7. Durand D. 8. Eickmayer J. 5. Gozzi P. 3. Hachem R. 10. Ifnaoui M. 4. Mendy B. 2. Meyapya B. 25. Ndoye C.	1. Beuve A. (G) 23. Daguin V. 26. Dudouit E. 28. Fage R. 3. Fofana S. 20. Kerouedan A. 7. Nsimba S. 14. Pierre L. 5. Rabuel M. 21. Remars M. 6. Smith J.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Red Star won 2.

Red Star is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Avranches is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Red Star is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Red Star to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Red Star won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
15.09.23	Le Mans - Red Star	1:2 ✺
11.09.23	Red Star - Rouen FC	3:2 ✺
04.09.23	Martigues - Red Star	0:1 ✺
25.08.23	Red Star - Sochaux	2:0 ✺
18.08.23	GOAL FC - Red Star	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL
- US Avranches
French Ligue 3
15.09.23	Avranches - Orleans	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Versailles - Avranches	1:1 ✺
01.09.23	Avranches - Nîmes	2:0 ✺
25.08.23	Dijon - Avranches	5:2 ✺
18.08.23	Avranches - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
24.02.23	Red Star - Avranches	1:2
16.09.22	Avranches - Red Star	1:1
18.03.22	Red Star - Avranches	2:1
08.10.21	Avranches - Red Star	0:6
27.03.21	Avranches - Red Star	1:0
24.11.20	Red Star - Avranches	1:0
04.10.19	Red Star - Avranches	2:0

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