Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 6

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play


	Red Star		Metz

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.10	2.70	Watch
	2.40	3.25	2.85
	2.38	3.30	2.88	Watch
	2.42	3.43	3.03
	2.39	3.39	2.86	Watch
	2.35	3.35	2.95
	2.37	3.32	2.89	Watch
	2.46	3.20	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.5)	3.29 ↑ (3.16)	2.86 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
39.1%

Draw
28.4%

Metz
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

29.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.9%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	53.8%	23.1%

Red Star - Metz Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Metz will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Tie (3.30) (votes: 85%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Poussin G. (G) 2. Magnin T. 20. Durivaux D. (C) 4. Zidane E. 3. Huard M. 19. Halifa I. 17. Renel S. 11. Cisse K. 10. Khaoui S. 23. Ikanga J. 91. Cabral K.	1. Fischer J. (G) 70. Sarr B. (C) 42. Devenish C. 4. Mboula M. 2. Colin M. 18. Munongo B. 8. Deminguet J. 21. Pandore J. 10. Savanier T. 9. Abuashvili G. 11. Fall P. M.
Substitutes
1. Benchaouch Y. (G) 25. Buta L. 6. Danger B. 7. Durand D. 5. Escartin J. 45. Konate C. 27. Kyeremeh G. 21. Sabaly I. 8. Trani G.	88. Ba A. 22. Mbala N. 33. Mbodji A. 6. Mendy N. 3. Miguel F. 5. Ruiz J. 7. Sane I. 39. Song B. 61. Sy P. (G)
Coaches
Perrinelle D.	Holtz L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Renel S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Colin M. ↓, Miguel F. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Ikanga J. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Cabral K. 🟨,
61', Pandore J. ↓, Mbala N. ↑,
61', Deminguet J. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
67', Renel S. ↓, Danger B. ↑,
68', Ikanga J. ↓, Durand D. ↑,
68', Khaoui S. ↓, Sabaly I. ↑,
77', Cisse K. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
78', Savanier T. ↓, Mendy N. ↑,
78', Abuashvili G. ↓, Ba A. ↑,
88', Halifa I. ↓, Escartin J. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 1.

In recent matches, Red Star has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Metz is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Red Star: Buta L. (Injury) Danger B. (Injury) Diawara M. (Red Card) Guindo S. (Inactive) Lahmer C. (Inactive) Lemonnier P. (Injury) Trani G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Marchal A. (Inactive) Toure A. (Transfer negotiations)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Red Star won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Metz: 6.02% Red Star: 4.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Red Star	7	4	2	1	9:7	2	14
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10:7	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
04.09.26	Laval - Red Star	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Red Star - Reims	1:4 ✺
21.08.26	Boulogne - Red Star	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Red Star - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Nantes - Red Star	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLTTW
- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
05.09.26	Metz - Rodez	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Annecy - Metz	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Metz - Laval	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Grenoble - Metz	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Metz - Guingamp	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.25	Metz - Red Star	4:0
French Ligue 2
19.04.25	Metz - Red Star	2:2
29.10.24	Red Star - Metz	1:0
26.04.19	Red Star - Metz	1:2
04.12.18	Metz - Red Star	2:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
25.10.17	Metz - Red Star	1:0
Club Friendly
22.07.16	Metz - Red Star	0:1

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