The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Redditch United 32.5%
Draw 25.7%
Spalding United 41.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
23.8%
41.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
23.1%
42.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Redditch United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Spalding United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Redditch United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (+1%)
Redditch United - Spalding United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Johnson C. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Roberts J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
64', 0 - 3, McCammon J. ⚽,
71', 0 - 4, Roberts J. ⚽,
73', 0 - 5, Roberts J. (Pen),
89', 0 - 6, Sano Sani A. M. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 7, Sembie-Ferris D. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).
Redditch has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Spalding is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Spalding may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Redditch has had a series of away games.
Recently, Spalding has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Redditch won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Redditch won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Spalding United - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.46%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.