The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spalding United 45%
Draw 24.5%
Bury Town 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.8%
22.6%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.3%
22.4%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spalding United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spalding United's form might have worsened.
Bury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bury Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spalding United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bury Town than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bury Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Spalding United - Bury Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Spalding United will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Cybulski B. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Jarvis ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Barton D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1. Replay (first match was draw).
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
Spalding could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Spalding is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Spalding has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Spalding against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.
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