Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Spalding United		St Ives Town

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.9	3.8
	1.71	4.13	3.86
	1.48	4.57	5.48	Watch
	1.64	3.94	4.22
	1.42	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.34)	4.21 ↓ (4.5)	4.67 ↓ (6.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spalding United
58.3%

Draw
22%

St Ives Town
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

20%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

19.3%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spalding United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spalding United's form might have worsened.

St Ives Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Ives Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spalding United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Ives Town than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Ives Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Spalding United - St Ives Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spalding (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Cross L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
62', 1 - 1, Cybulski B. ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, Ceesay Y. ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, Hickinson K. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, Richens M. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 14).

Spalding is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

St Ives's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Spalding may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Spalding has had a series of home games.

In this match, Spalding is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Spalding won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Spalding won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spalding United
English Southern League Central Division
04.11.25	Spalding United - Quorn	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Alvechurch - Spalding United	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Spalding United - Corby Town	0:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
21.10.25	Spalding United - Royston Town	4:0 ✺
18.10.25	Spalding United - Sudbury Town	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLWW
- St Ives Town
English Southern League Central Division
01.11.25	Kettering Town - St Ives Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Ilkeston - St Ives Town	3:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
18.10.25	St Ives Town - Alvechurch	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Bury Town - St Ives Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	St Ives Town - Kettering Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
01.01.25	Spalding United - St Ives Town	3:1
26.08.24	St Ives Town - Spalding United	5:1
Club Friendly
03.07.23	St Ives Town - Spalding United	1:2

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