Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)


	Reggiana		Ancona

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.6	3.35	5.3
	1.57	3.45	5.2
	1.55	3.52	6.45
	1.6	3.3	5.5
	1.56	3.74	5.4	Watch
	1.59	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.82)	3.53 ↑ (3.05)	5.46 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggiana
57.6%

Draw
25.7%

Ancona
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

29.2%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

28.2%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reggiana's performance.

Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ancona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reggiana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Reggiana - Ancona Predictions

Users Predictions: Reggiana will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reggiana won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Reggiana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ancona have a series of home games.

Reggiana will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Reggiana won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Reggiana won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.22	Fiorenzuola - Reggiana	5:0 ✺
24.09.22	Reggiana - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:0 ✺
19.09.22	Alessandria - Reggiana	0:2 ✺
14.09.22	Reggiana - Montevarchi	4:0 ✺
11.09.22	Siena - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWWL
- US Ancona 1905
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Ancona - Rimini	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.22	Ancona - Montevarchi	1:2 ✺
24.09.22	Vis Pesaro - Ancona	0:3 ✺
18.09.22	Ancona - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
14.09.22	Ancona - Fiorenzuola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
27.02.22	Ancona - Reggiana	1:1
19.10.21	Reggiana - Ancona	3:1
30.12.16	Ancona - Reggiana	1:0
03.09.16	Reggiana - Ancona	4:0
18.01.15	Ancona - Reggiana	2:0
07.09.14	Reggiana - Ancona	2:1

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