Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 3

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Reggiana		Brescia

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.7	Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.65
	2.75	2.95	2.7	Watch
	2.95	2.96	2.82
	2.88	3	2.71	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.88
	2.78	3.2	2.62	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.42)	3.03 ↓ (3.18)	2.72 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggiana
34.1%

Draw
31.2%

Brescia
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.9%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.2%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reggiana's form might have worsened.

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	61.1%	16.7%

Reggiana - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Brescia will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bardi F. (G) 6. Stulac L. 13. Meroni A. 4. Rozzio P. 17. Libutti L. 31. Sampirisi M. 25. Ignacchiti L. 30. Vergara A. 5. Sersanti A. 27. Maggio M. 10. Vido L.	1. Lezzerini L. (G) 24. Dickmann L. 15. Cistana A. 28. Adorni D. 19. Corrado N. 27. Olzer G. 25. Bisoli D. 6. Verreth M. 26. Bertagnoli M. 9. Bianchi F. 29. Borrelli G.
Substitutes
39. Cavallini G. 8. Cigarini L. 15. Fiamozzi R. 11. Gondo C. 1. Motta E. (G) 87. Nahounou Y. 90. Portanova M. 16. Reinhart T. 99. Sposito A. (G) 33. Stramaccioni D. 29. Urso O.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 39. Besaggio M. 8. Bjarnason B. 16. Buhagiar T. 5. Calvani G. 21. Fogliata R. 23. Galazzi N. 18. Jallow A. 7. Juric A. 20. Nuamah P. 4. Paghera F. 32. Papetti A.
Coaches
Viali W.	Maran R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Maggio M. ⚽,
20', Maggio M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bianchi F. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
46', Olzer G. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑,
50', Borrelli G. 🟨,
61', Stulac L. ↓, Reinhart T. ↑,
61', Vido L. ↓, Gondo C. ↑,
62', Sampirisi M. 🟨,
67', Sampirisi M. ↓, Fiamozzi R. ↑,
67', Maggio M. ↓, Portanova M. ↑,
71', Borrelli G. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
71', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
78', Sersanti A. ↓, Cavallini G. ↑,
81', Corrado N. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Portanova M. ⚽, Vergara A. (A),
86', Portanova M. 🟨,
90+3', Verreth M. 🟨,

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Recently Brescia have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reggiana won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Reggiana won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
24.08.24	Sampdoria - Reggiana	0:1 ✺
18.08.24	Reggiana - Mantova	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
09.08.24	Genoa - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Reggiana - Legnago Salus	5:2 ✺
02.08.24	Reggiana - Lentigione	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTLWW
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
24.08.24	Brescia - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
16.08.24	Brescia - Palermo	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.08.24	Brescia - Venezia	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.24	Brescia - Renate	2:2 ✺
01.08.24	Brescia - Genoa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
24.02.24	Brescia - Reggiana	0:0
10.12.23	Reggiana - Brescia	1:1
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Brescia - Reggiana	Canceled
Italian Serie B
05.04.21	Reggiana - Brescia	2:2
19.12.20	Brescia - Reggiana	3:1

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