Match Info

Serie B - Round 18

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Sampdoria		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.82	3.25	4.35	Watch
	1.85	3.34	4.46	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.33
	1.86	3.3	4.43	Watch
	1.81	3.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.92)	3.31 ↓ (3.35)	4.48 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
50.9%

Draw
28.2%

Reggiana
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

27.9%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.8%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	18.7%	12.5%

Sampdoria - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Reggiana will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampdoria: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Reggiana (2.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Reggiana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ghidotti S. (G) 18. Venuti L. 28. Abildgaard O. 17. Hadzikadunic D. 23. Depaoli F. (C) 21. Giordano S. 16. Henderson L. 33. Conti F. 10. Cherubini L. 20. Pafundi S. 9. Coda M.	1. Motta E. (G) 2. Papetti A. 96. Magnani G. 14. Quaranta D. 23. Rover M. 16. Reinhart T. 8. Charlys 3. Bozzolan A. 10. Tavsan E. 90. Portanova M. (C) 9. Novakovich A.
Substitutes
72. Barak A. 14. Bellemo A. 80. Benedetti L. 98. Coucke G. (G) 7. Cuni M. 25. Ferrari A. 44. Ioannou N. 22. Krastev A. (G) 70. Narro V. 30. Ravaglia N. (G) 8. Ricci M. 31. Vulikic S.	43. Bonetti S. 11. Gondo C. 93. Lambourde M. 17. Libutti L. 7. Marras M. 44. Mendicino L. 4. Rozzio P. 31. Sampirisi M. 12. Seculin A. (G) 5. Stulac L. 33. Tripaldelli A. 6. Vallarelli F.
Coaches
Gregucci A.	Dionigi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Portanova M. ⚽, Rover M. (A),
20', Depaoli F. 🟨,
24', Reinhart T. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Conti F. ⚽,
45', Venuti L. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
45+2', Hadzikadunic D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Rover M. 🟨,
57', Rover M. ↓, Marras M. ↑,
60', Cherubini L. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
60', Giordano S. ↓, Ioannou N. ↑,
71', Tavsan E. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
76', Lambourde M. 🟨,
79', Bozzolan A. ↓, Libutti L. ↑,
79', Reinhart T. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
79', Novakovich A. ↓, Gondo C. ↑,
80', Conti F. ↓, Ricci M. ↑,
80', Pafundi S. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Barak A. ⚽,
90+4', Ferrari A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 12).

In recent matches, Sampdoria has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Reggiana is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Reggiana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sampdoria is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Sampdoria: Altare G. (Knee Injury) Bellemo A. (Muscle Injury) Ferri J. (Inactive) Girelli S. (Inactive) Riccio A. (Inactive) Romagnoli S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Reggiana: Girma N. (Inactive) Gondo C. (Inactive) Urso O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Reggiana: Magnani G. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sampdoria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
20.12.25	Padova - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Palermo - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Sampdoria - Carrarese	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Spezia - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
24.11.25	Sampdoria - Juve Stabia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWLW
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
20.12.25	Pescara - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Reggiana - Padova	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Mantova - Reggiana	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Reggiana - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Carrarese - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
16.03.25	Reggiana - Sampdoria	2:2
24.08.24	Sampdoria - Reggiana	0:1
05.05.24	Sampdoria - Reggiana	1:0
16.12.23	Reggiana - Sampdoria	1:2

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