Match Info

Serie B - Round 24

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Reggiana		Mantova

	1	X	2
	2.57	2.85	2.85	Watch
	2.52	2.98	2.92	Watch
	2.73	3.02	2.99
	2.47	3.08	2.99	Watch
	2.5	3	2.8
	2.6	2.92	2.9	Watch
	2.57	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.21)	2.96 ↓ (3.23)	2.92 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggiana
36.4%

Draw
31.5%

Mantova
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.6%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

28.3%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reggiana's form might have worsened.

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reggiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	46.7%	20%

Reggiana - Mantova Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Mantova will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mantova (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Reggiana (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Reggiana (votes: 1 - 20%). Mantova (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 2. Papetti A. 4. Rozzio P. 17. Libutti L. 8. Charlys 16. Reinhart T. 57. Belardinelli L. 9. Novakovich A. 80. Girma N. 43. Bonetti S. 33. Tripaldelli A.	24. Bardi F. (G) 13. Meroni A. 29. Cella S. 27. Castellini A. 3. Dembele A. 21. Trimboli S. 80. Kouda R. 15. Goncalves T. 30. Bragantini D. 7. Mensah D. 77. Buso N.
Substitutes
10. Bozhanaj K. 3. Bozzolan A. 45. Cardinali M. (G) 77. Fumagalli T. 11. Gondo C. 93. Lambourde M. 44. Mendicino L. 14. Quaranta D. 23. Rover M. 12. Seculin A. (G) 6. Vallarelli F. 34. Vicari F.	50. Benaissa-Yahia F. 5. Chrysopoulos K. 96. Maggioni T. 9. Mancuso L. 23. Marras T. 11. Muci N. 36. Paoletti F. 17. Radaelli N. 19. Ruocco F. 34. Vukovic A. (G) 10. Wieser D. 98. Zuccon F.
Coaches
Rubinacci L.	Modesto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Charlys ⚽, Bonetti S. (A),
28', Novakovich A. 🟨,
39', Girma N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bragantini D. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
46', Mensah D. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
63', Goncalves T. ↓, Benaissa-Yahia F. ↑,
63', Buso N. ↓, Ruocco F. ↑,
65', Meroni A. 🟨,
70', Girma N. ↓, Gondo C. ↑,
70', Reinhart T. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
77', Meroni A. ↓, Muci N. ↑,
88', Kouda R. 🟨,
90', Novakovich A. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
90', Tripaldelli A. ↓, Bozzolan A. ↑,
90+1', Belardinelli L. ↓, Vallarelli F. ↑,
90+2', Bozzolan A. 🟨,
90+6', Rozzio P. 🟨,
90+6', Cella S. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 15)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 3.

Reggiana has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Mantova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Reggiana: Bertagnoli M. (Inactive) Mateus Lusuardi (Injury) Sampirisi M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Mantova: Bianay Balcot C. (Injury) Bonfanti N. (Inactive) Caprini M. (Inactive) Falletti C. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Reggiana won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10:5	5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
07.02.26	Catanzaro - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Reggiana - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Frosinone - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Reggiana - Cesena	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Reggiana - Venezia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLL
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
07.02.26	Mantova - Bari	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Pescara - Mantova	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Mantova - Venezia	2:5 ✺
17.01.26	Padova - Mantova	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Mantova - Palermo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
08.12.25	Mantova - Reggiana	0:1
29.12.24	Mantova - Reggiana	0:2
18.08.24	Reggiana - Mantova	2:2
Italian Serie C Group B
19.03.17	Reggiana - Mantova	0:0
29.10.16	Mantova - Reggiana	2:3
Italian Serie C Group A
13.02.16	Reggiana - Mantova	1:1
03.10.15	Mantova - Reggiana	0:2

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