Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Oreste Granillo (Reggio Calabria)


	Reggina		Athletic Palermo

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	3.95
	1.73	3.59	3.91
	1.74	3.73	3.99	Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.2
	1.64	3.64	4.63
	1.92	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.9)	3.51 ↑ (3.33)	4.01 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggina
51.7%

Draw
25.7%

Athletic Palermo
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

27.3%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

25.1%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Athletic Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Reggina - Athletic Palermo Predictions

Users Predictions: Reggina will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 🟥,
76', 1 - 0, ⚽,
78', 🟥,

Preview

Reggina is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Athletic Palermo has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Athletic Palermo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Reggina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Reggina will win today's game, with odds of 2.02.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Reggina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Reggina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Reggina	6	5	0	1	15:1	14	15
9	Athletic Palermo	6	2	2	2	9:8	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie D - Group I
03.05.26	Reggina - Sambiase	4:2 ✺
19.04.26	Reggina - Paternò	3:0 ✺
15.04.26	Reggina - Enna	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Gela - Reggina	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Athletic Palermo - Reggina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWTW
- Athletic Palermo
Italian Serie D - Group I
26.04.26	Athletic Palermo - Savoia	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	Athletic Palermo - Castrumfavara	0:3 ✺
02.04.26	Gelbison Cilento - Athletic Palermo	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Athletic Palermo - Reggina	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Nissa - Athletic Palermo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
29.03.26	Athletic Palermo - Reggina	0:1
16.11.25	Reggina - Athletic Palermo	2:3

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