Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 34

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Oreste Granillo (Reggio Calabria)


	Reggina		Sambiase

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	4.8
	1.58	3.5	5.15
	1.59	3.67	5.23	Watch
	1.59	3.56	5.19
	1.53	3.6	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)	3.57 ↓ (3.6)	5.13 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggina
57.1%

Draw
25.3%

Sambiase
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24.8%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

22.3%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Sambiase has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reggina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambiase than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Reggina - Sambiase Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Fofana L. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Mungo D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 2 - 1, ⚽,
71', 3 - 1, ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, ⚽,
78', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Reggina has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sambiase is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Reggina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Reggina is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Reggina will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Reggina won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Reggina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Reggina	6	5	0	1	15:1	14	15
3	Sambiase	6	4	1	1	10:5	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie D - Group I
19.04.26	Reggina - Paternò	3:0 ✺
15.04.26	Reggina - Enna	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Gela - Reggina	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Athletic Palermo - Reggina	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Reggina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTWW
- ASD Sambiase
Italian Serie D - Group I
26.04.26	Sambiase - Nissa	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Enna - Sambiase	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Sambiase - Paternò	3:1 ✺
29.03.26	Acireale - Sambiase	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Sambiase - Gela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
21.12.25	Sambiase - Reggina	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Sambiase - Reggina	0:1
Italian Serie D - Group I
23.03.25	Sambiase - Reggina	0:1
10.11.24	Reggina - Sambiase	1:1

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