The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reggina 77%
Draw 15.2%
Castrovillari 7.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.7%
22.7%
9.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.4%
21.5%
9.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reggina's performance.
Castrovillari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reggina that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
36', Renelus B. ⚽,
36', Renelus B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', Provazza A. ⚽,
90+3', Palma M. ⚽,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
Recent matches Reggio Calabria is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Castrovillari is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Reggio Calabria is indisputable favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Reggio Calabria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
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