Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Oreste Granillo (Reggio Calabria)

Referee: Valeri P. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Reggina		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.75	6	Watch
	1.63	3.5	5.75
	1.65	3.4	5.75
	1.63	3.45	5.6
	1.63	3.69	6.77
	1.67	3.4	5.8
	1.63	3.76	5.5	Watch
	1.61	3.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.87)	3.56 ↑ (3.3)	5.82 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggina
57.5%

Draw
26.4%

Nuova Cosenza
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

28.3%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

27.5%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reggina's performance.

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuova Cosenza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reggina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Reggina - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Reggina will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Cosenza will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggina: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Cosenza has the most likely position - 16 (8.04%), has project points - 46, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (28%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reggio Calabria won 2.

Reggio Calabria is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cosenza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Reggio Calabria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Reggio Calabria is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Reggio Calabria to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Reggio Calabria won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Reggio Calabria won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
01.10.22	Modena - Reggina	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	Reggina - Cittadella	3:0 ✺
10.09.22	Pisa - Reggina	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Reggina - Palermo	3:0 ✺
28.08.22	Reggina - Südtirol-Alto Adige	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWW
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
30.09.22	Nuova Cosenza - Como	3:1 ✺
17.09.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Nuova Cosenza - Bari	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Ternana - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Parma - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
19.03.22	Reggina - Nuova Cosenza	1:0
05.11.21	Nuova Cosenza - Reggina	0:1
15.02.21	Nuova Cosenza - Reggina	2:2
20.10.20	Reggina - Nuova Cosenza	0:0
Italian Serie C Group C
21.02.15	Nuova Cosenza - Reggina	2:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.14	Nuova Cosenza - Reggina	1:0 penalties
Italian Serie C Group C
05.10.14	Reggina - Nuova Cosenza	3:0

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