Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 19

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Referee: Manzo G. M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Nuova Cosenza		Como

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.37	3	3.1
	2.3	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.5	3.11	3.42
	2.42	3.11	3.42
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.29	3.22	3.18	Watch
	2.38	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.82)	3.1 ↓ (3.16)	3.23 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
40.1%

Draw
30.6%

Como
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

29.1%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nuova Cosenza's performance.

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Como might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nuova Cosenza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Como could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	46.7%	6.7%

Nuova Cosenza - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Como will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cosenza: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 2. Sgarbi F. 23. Venturi M. 6. Fontanarosa A. 17. Cimino B. 24. Viviani M. 14. Calo G. 42. Voca I. 27. Martino P. 30. Mazzocchi S. 9. Tutino G.	1. Semper A. (G) 80. Vignali L. 26. Odenthal C. 93. Barba F. 3. Sala M. 6. Iovine A. 28. Abildgaard O. 14. Bellemo A. 90. Verdi S. 10. Cutrone P. 9. Gabrielloni A.
Substitutes
20. Arioli A. 19. Crespi V. 11. D'Orazio T. 10. Forte F. 12. Lai A. (G) 33. La Vardera S. 7. Marras M. 77. Marson L. (G) 13. Meroni A. 3. Rispoli A. 21. Zilli M. 98. Zuccon F.	21. Arrigoni T. 8. Baselli D. 11. Blanco A. 84. Cassandro T. 27. Cerri A. 7. Chajia M. 18. Mazzaglia G. 99. Mustapha S. 32. Rispoli F. 34. Ronco D. 4. Solini M. 22. Vigorito M. (G)
Coaches
Caserta F.	Roberts O.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 3.

Cosenza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Como is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
23.12.23	Bari - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Nuova Cosenza - Parma	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Nuova Cosenza - Ternana	1:3 ✺
26.11.23	Catanzaro - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTLLL
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
23.12.23	Como - Palermo	3:3 ✺
16.12.23	Brescia - Como	2:0 ✺
10.12.23	Como - Modena	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Como	0:1 ✺
28.11.23	Como - Lecco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.02.23	Como - Nuova Cosenza	5:1
30.09.22	Nuova Cosenza - Como	3:1
20.02.22	Como - Nuova Cosenza	2:1
21.09.21	Nuova Cosenza - Como	2:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
22.04.15	Nuova Cosenza - Como	1:0
08.04.15	Como - Nuova Cosenza	1:4

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