The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nuova Cosenza 26.5%
Draw 28.9%
Bari 44.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.1%
29.3%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.2%
30.2%
41.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15%
10%
75%
Nuova Cosenza - Bari Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Bari will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bari: 51.5% โ 92.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.25 - Bari (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bari will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cosenza (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Bari (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 55. Hristov A. 29. Sgarbi F. 15. Dalle Mura C. 2. Cimino B. 5. Gargiulo M. 28. Kouan C. 31. Ricci G. 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 34. Florenzi A. (C) 21. Zilli M.
1. Radunovic B. (G) 3. Mantovani V. 44. Simic L. 25. Pucino R. (C) 27. Favasuli C. 28. Lella N. 17. Maiello R. 21. Maggiore G. 93. Dorval M. 19. Falletti C. 15. Lasagna K.
Substitutes
9. Artistico G. 17. Caporale A. 6. Charlys 19. Ciervo R. 18. Cruz J. M. 11. D'Orazio T. 10. Fumagalli T. 39. Kourfalidis C. 30. Mazzocchi S. 16. Ricciardi M. 23. Venturi M. 22. Vettorel T. (G)
10. Bellomo N. 8. Benali A. 11. Bonfanti N. 99. Favilli A. 4. Maita M. 9. Novakovich A. 55. Obaretin N. 7. Oliveri A. 20. Pereiro G. 22. Pissardo M. (G) 13. Tripaldelli A. 23. Vicari F.
Coaches
Alvini M.
Longo M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Ricci G. 🟨,
35', Maggiore G. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Gargiulo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Maggiore G. ↓, Bonfanti N. ↑,
46', Maiello R. ↓, Benali A. ↑,
46', Lasagna K. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
52', Zilli M. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
57', Artistico G. (Pen),
59', Falletti C. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
67', Favasuli C. ↓, Pereiro G. ↑,
73', Florenzi A. ↓, Kourfalidis C. ↑,
73', Cimino B. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
73', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Mazzocchi S. ↑,
74', Dalle Mura C. 🟨,
85', Dalle Mura C. ↓, Venturi M. ↑,
90+4', Favilli A. 🟨,
90+6', Ricciardi M. 🟨,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 1.
Cosenza is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Bari is playing unpredictably (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).
Bari will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Cosenza: Cruz J. M.
(Injury)
Garritano L.
(Calf Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cosenza won 1 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6 (average 1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams, Cosenza won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).
Italy
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Micai A. (G) 
Hristov A. 
Kouan C. 
Radunovic B. (G) 
Simic L. 
Dorval M. 
Falletti C. 
Charlys 
Cruz J. M. 
Kourfalidis C. 
Benali A. 
Novakovich A. 
