Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 11

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion BTS Rekord (Bielsko-Biała)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Rekord Bielsko-Biała		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.5	1.98
	3.1	3.6	2
	3.15	3.71	2.06
	3.2	3.81	2.04	Watch
	3.1	3.6	1.91
	3.08	3.68	1.99	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.94)	3.64 ↑ (3.18)	2 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rekord Bielsko-Biała
29.4%

Draw
25%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

28.5%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

27.5%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rekord Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rekord Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Rekord Bielsko Biała - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Sydorenko D. (G)
	7. Apolinarski J.
	5. Dias M.
	16. Gajgier A.
	10. Jaron D. (C)
	13. Lis J.
	21. Los K.
	15. Niski N.
	99. Noiszewski K.
	9. Odolak K.
	23. Sommerfeld K.
Substitutes
	19. Bahonko E.
	26. Cierpial J.
	11. Dziegielewski D.
	. Gulczynski G.
	12. Kalinowski D. (G)
	4. Korczakowski I.
	17. Niewiadomski J.
	6. Skowronski G.
	. Urbanski P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Swiderski D. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Sommerfeld K. ⚽,
32', 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', 🟨,
62', Ciucka J. ↓, Klichowicz M. ↑,
63', 🟨,
79', Kempny J. ↓, Zyrek H. ↑,
84', 🟨,
90', Rys J. ↓, Nechyporenko S. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Rekord Bielsko-Biała is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki have a series of home games.

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 2
21.09.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:4 ✺
17.09.24	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Hutnik	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	KKS Kalisz - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - ŁKS Łódź II	2:4 ✺
25.08.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTLT
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Cup
24.09.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 penalties ✺
Polish Division 2
21.09.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wisła Puławy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WWTTW

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