Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CARIOCA - TACA GUANABARA - ROUND 10

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Kléber Andrade (Vitoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Resende		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.2	1.36
	8.25	4.4	1.39
	7	4.2	1.37
	9.43	4.62	1.36
	8.9	4.4	1.36
	7.8	4.2	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.15 ↑ (7)	4.34 ↑ (3.8)	1.37 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resende
11.3%

Draw
21.3%

Botafogo RJ
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

23.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

22.9%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resende than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Resende - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Campeonato Carioca 2 (First stage) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Resende won 1.

Resende has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Botafogo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Botafogo is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Botafogo to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Resende won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 6-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Resende won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Resende FC
Copa do Brasil
28.02.23	Resende - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
25.02.23	Nova Iguaçu - Resende	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Resende - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Madureira - Resende	1:0 ✺
02.02.23	Vasco da Gama - Resende	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Botafogo RJ
Copa do Brasil
02.03.23	Sergipe - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
25.02.23	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
16.02.23	Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
11.02.23	Botafogo RJ - Bangu	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Boavista - Botafogo RJ	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
17.02.22	Botafogo RJ - Resende	2:1
07.03.21	Botafogo RJ - Resende	3:0
30.01.20	Botafogo RJ - Resende	2:1
31.01.19	Botafogo RJ - Resende	0:1
02.04.17	Botafogo RJ - Resende	3:2
13.02.16	Resende - Botafogo RJ	0:1
15.03.15	Botafogo RJ - Resende	3:0

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