Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 2 March 2023, Thursday


	Sergipe		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	7	4.75	1.33
	7.75	4.5	1.33
	9.5	4.8	1.3
	8.4	4.5	1.3
	9.7	5.02	1.3
	9.5	4.2	1.32
	10.25	5	1.31
	8.8	4.7	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.86 ↑ (7.7)	4.68 ↑ (4.12)	1.31 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergipe
10.4%

Draw
19.6%

Botafogo RJ
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

22.1%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

19.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Sergipe - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sergipe will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Botafogo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Botafogo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Botafogo is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Sergipe
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
26.02.23	Sergipe - Itabaiana	2:1 ✺
22.02.23	Atlético Gloriense - Sergipe	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
18.02.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sergipe	0:0 ✺
15.02.23	Sergipe - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
12.02.23	Confiança - Sergipe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTTWL
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
25.02.23	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
16.02.23	Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
11.02.23	Botafogo RJ - Bangu	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Boavista - Botafogo RJ	0:4 ✺
01.02.23	Botafogo RJ - Nova Iguaçu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWWT

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