Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 14

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday


	Resistencia		Sportivo Carapeguá

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.25	3.80
	1.82	3.35	3.7
	1.76	3.5	4.5
	1.86	3.44	4.16	Watch
	1.65	3.35	4.45
	1.68	3.65	4.32
	1.8	3.3	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.17)	3.41 ↑ (3)	4.11 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resistencia
51.3%

Draw
26.6%

Sportivo Carapeguá
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

30.1%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Resistencia's performance.

Sportivo Carapeguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Carapeguá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Resistencia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Carapeguá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Resistencia - Sportivo Carapeguá Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Resistencia will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Carapeguá will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Escobar F. (Penalty Awarded),
42', 1 - 1, Galeano L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
89', Murillo J. 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Resistencia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Resistencia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Resistencia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sp. Carapegua	27	11	6	10	32:39	-7	39
10	Resistencia	27	9	8	10	31:32	-1	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
05.07.26	12 de Junio - Resistencia	3:2 ✺
30.06.26	Resistencia - Encarnación	1:0 ✺
04.06.26	Deportivo Santaní - Resistencia	3:0 ✺
30.05.26	Resistencia - Fernando de la Mora	3:1 ✺
24.05.26	3 de Noviembre - Resistencia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWT
- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
05.07.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Deportivo Capiatá - Sportivo Carapeguá	5:2 ✺
06.06.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Independiente Asuncion	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Tacuary - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:2 ✺
25.05.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Atlético Tembetary	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
21.08.25	Resistencia - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:1
15.05.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Resistencia	2:1
12.08.24	Sportivo Carapeguá - Resistencia	2:1
06.05.24	Resistencia - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:2

Resistencia - Sportivo Carapeguá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide