Match Info

Pernambucano - Round 1

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Retrô Brasil		Vitória das Tabocas

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.75	5.7
	1.5	3.48	7.14
	1.44	3.5	6.5
	1.49	3.52	6.85
	1.6	3.8	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.59)	3.61 ↓ (3.73)	6.37 ↑ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Retrô Brasil
60.4%

Draw
25.3%

Vitória das Tabocas
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24.7%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Vitória das Tabocas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Retrô Brasil - Vitória das Tabocas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Retrô (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Retrô (1.90) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Retrô (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Ricardo (G) 17. Diego Guerra 11. Douglas 21. Guilherme 27. Iury 5. Kadi Silva 6. Luiz Henrique 7. Luiz Henrique 8. Radsley 4. Rayan Ribeiro 9. Vagner Love	12. Felipe Carneiro (G) 6. Alan Pires 10. Bruninho 3. Claudio Caca-Rato 5. Diego Aragao 8. Ewerton Ageu 2. Guilherme Lucena 4. Hitalo 9. Luiz Paulo 11. Olimpio L. 7. Pedro Maycon
Substitutes
20. Bruno Henrique 19. Bruno Marques 16. Danillo 3. Dankler 12. David Lucas (G) 25. Ericson 30. Fabricio Pereira 22. Junior Fialho 18. Lucas Sampaio 28. Murilo Cosmo 29. Oliveira G. 15. Wesley Junio	23. Chiquinho 15. Douglas Nunes 18. Dudu 17. Elivelton 21. Gabriel Pires 19. Juninho Carpina 16. Leo Gaucho 14. Miro 20. Pepeto 13. Tomas Dias 22. Villela I. 1. Winicius (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', Ewerton Ageu 🟨,
26', 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Luiz Henrique ⚽,
34', Ewerton Ageu ↓, Elivelton ↑,
38', 2 - 0, Vagner Love ⚽,
45+4', Iury 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Iury ↓, Danillo ↑,
54', Alan Pires 🟨,
61', Douglas ↓, Ericson ↑,
63', Vagner Love ↓, Junior Fialho ↑,
66', 🟨,
67', 3 - 0, Diego Guerra ⚽,
69', Luiz Paulo ↓, Gabriel Pires ↑,
70', Olimpio L. ↓, Villela I. ↑,
70', 4 - 0, Ericson ⚽,
73', Hitalo ↓, Juninho Carpina ↑,
75', Pedro Maycon ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
77', Gabriel Pires 🟨,
81', Kadi Silva ↓, Fabricio Pereira ↑,
82', 🟨,

Preview

Vitória das Tabocas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Retrô is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Retrô won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:0. (average 3.3:0).

Including home match between the teams, Retrô won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie C
30.08.25	Confiança - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Retrô Brasil - ABC	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Maringá - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Retrô Brasil - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
06.08.25	Retrô Brasil - Bahia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLLT
- Vitória das Tabocas
Club Friendly
29.12.25	Treze - Vitória das Tabocas	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Pernambucano 2
01.11.25	América PE - Vitória das Tabocas	1:2 penalties ✺
25.10.25	Vitória das Tabocas - Centro Limoeirense	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Ypiranga-PE - Vitória das Tabocas	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	CA Porto - Vitória das Tabocas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
10.05.21	Vitória das Tabocas - Retrô Brasil	0:5
02.05.21	Vitória das Tabocas - Retrô Brasil	0:3
29.02.20	Retrô Brasil - Vitória das Tabocas	2:0

Retrô Brasil - Vitória das Tabocas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide