Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)


	Retrô Brasil		Bahia

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.8	1.62
	4.8	3.75	1.57
	5.3	3.75	1.6
	5.81	3.84	1.65
	5	3.7	1.62
	5.31	3.98	1.63
	4	3.33	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.1 ↑ (4)	3.74 ↑ (3.33)	1.66 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Retrô Brasil
18.4%

Draw
25.1%

Bahia
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

28.3%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

28.1%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Retrô Brasil's form might have worsened.

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bahia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Retrô Brasil - Bahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fabian Volpi (G) 16. Danillo 4. Rayan Ribeiro 19. Rayne Assis 6. Gustavo Salomao 18. Franco R. 8. Radsley (C) 26. Ly I. 17. Diego Guerra 99. Vagner Love 15. Tales	96. Ronaldo Strada (G) 13. Arias S. 3. Gabriel Xavier 33. David Duarte 46. Luciano Juba 10. Everton Ribeiro (C) 19. Caio Alexandre 6. Jean Lucas 37. Kayky 8. Cauly 17. Rodriguez L.
Substitutes
1. Darley (G) 25. Eduardo 7. Fabinho 14. Felipe Ferreira 28. Joao Lucas 11. Junior Fialho 22. Lima 9. Mascote 30. Maycon Douglas 29. Mendonca 27. Mike 5. Romulo	7. Ademir 2. Gilberto 68. Jota 22. Marcos Felipe (G) 15. Michel Araujo 21. Ramos S. 5. Rezende 11. Rodrigo 77. Tiago 70. Vitinho 12. Willian Jose 66. Ze Guilherme
Coaches
Schulle I.	Mucke R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Tales ↓, Junior Fialho ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vagner Love ↓, Mascote ↑,
51', Franco R. 🟨,
57', David Duarte 🟨,
61', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
61', Cauly ↓, Ademir ↑,
67', Junior Fialho ↓, Mike ↑,
75', Diego Guerra ↓, Felipe Ferreira ↑,
75', Danillo ↓, Eduardo ↑,
76', Caio Alexandre ↓, Rezende ↑,
76', Rodriguez L. ↓, Willian Jose ↑,
77', Michel Araujo 🟨,
85', Kayky ↓, Tiago ↑,
87', Vagner Love 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-3. 2nd leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Retrô may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bahia is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Retrô: Bruno Marques (Injury) Denilson (Inactive) Fernandinho (Injury) Paulo Ricardo (Inactive)

There will not play in Bahia: Erick (Hamstring Injury) Erick Pulga (Thigh Injury) Fred Lippert (Inactive) Kanu (Muscle Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Retrô won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie C
03.08.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.07.25	Bahia - Retrô Brasil	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
26.07.25	Retrô Brasil - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Brusque - Retrô Brasil	1:2 ✺
14.07.25	Retrô Brasil - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLTWT
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie A
02.08.25	Sport Recife - Bahia	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.07.25	Bahia - Retrô Brasil	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.07.25	Bahia - Juventude	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.07.25	América de Cali - Bahia	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.07.25	Fortaleza - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
30.07.25	Bahia - Retrô Brasil	3:2

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