Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 14

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday


	Retrô Brasil		Clube Sociedade Esportiva

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	4.8
	1.57	3.5	5.5
				Watch
	1.53	3.6	5
	1.57	3.64	5.41
	1.57	3.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (2.16)	3.53 ↑ (2.82)	5.24 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Retrô Brasil
57.3%

Draw
25.5%

Clube Sociedade Esportiva
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

32.2%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

30.9%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Retrô Brasil's performance.

Clube Sociedade Esportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Clube Sociedade Esportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Retrô Brasil that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clube Sociedade Esportiva than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Clube Sociedade Esportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Retrô Brasil - Clube Sociedade Esportiva Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Retrô will win (votes: 3 - 75%). CSE will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Mascote ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 1, Wildson Indio ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Retrô is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Now both teams are in good shape.

CSE could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Retrô will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Retrô won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie D
13.07.24	Juazeirense - Retrô Brasil	1:2 ✺
08.07.24	Retrô Brasil - Sergipe	5:0 ✺
03.07.24	Itabaiana - Retrô Brasil	2:1 ✺
26.06.24	Retrô Brasil - Petrolina	1:0 ✺
15.06.24	Retrô Brasil - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWW
- Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Brazilian Serie D
14.07.24	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Itabaiana	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:2 ✺
03.07.24	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Juazeirense	0:1 ✺
26.06.24	Jacuipense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:2 ✺
15.06.24	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Sergipe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
27.04.24	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Retrô Brasil	0:0

Retrô Brasil - Clube Sociedade Esportiva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide