Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PERNAMBUCANO - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Arena Pernambuco (Recife)

Referee: Correia D. (Bra)


	Retrô Brasil		Salgueiro

	1	X	2
	1.38	4	7.25
	1.28	4.25	8
	1.42	4.08	7.33
	1.36	4	8
	1.4	4.25	7.3
	1.38	4.1	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.41)	4.11 ↑ (3.98)	7.58 ↑ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Retrô Brasil
66.1%

Draw
22%

Salgueiro
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

22.8%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

22.4%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Salgueiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salgueiro than the current prediction. (+1%)

Retrô Brasil - Salgueiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Retrô is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Salgueiro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Retrô could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Retrô is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Retrô won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Retrô won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
01.04.23	Íbis - Retrô Brasil	1:4 ✺
26.03.23	Maguary - Retrô Brasil	1:3 ✺
19.03.23	Retrô Brasil - Salgueiro	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
08.03.23	Tombense - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
04.03.23	Retrô Brasil - Petrolina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLT
- Salgueiro
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
05.04.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Salgueiro	1:2 penalties ✺
01.04.23	Salgueiro - Afogados da Ingazeira	3:2 ✺
19.03.23	Retrô Brasil - Salgueiro	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Salgueiro	2:0 ✺
28.02.23	Salgueiro - CA Porto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
19.03.23	Retrô Brasil - Salgueiro	1:0
13.04.22	Retrô Brasil - Salgueiro	1:0
16.03.22	Salgueiro - Retrô Brasil	2:2
18.04.21	Salgueiro - Retrô Brasil	1:0
08.02.20	Retrô Brasil - Salgueiro	0:1

Retrô Brasil - Salgueiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide