The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Maguary 31.8%
Draw 30.8%
Retrô Brasil 37.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
30.6%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.4%
30.8%
36%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maguary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maguary than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Maguary - Retrô Brasil Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Juliano (G) 2. Eduardo 17. Francisco 6. Gabriel Fontes 4. Guedes 19. Henrique Paraiba 18. Iago Felipe 8. Italo 10. Julio Cesar 3. Mauricio Pinto 29. Vinicius Kanu
1. Paulo Ricardo (G) 2. David Junio 17. Diego Guerra 11. Douglas 25. Ericson 21. Guilherme 5. Kadi Silva 19. Lira W. 18. Lucas Sampaio 8. Radsley 4. Rayan Ribeiro
20. Bruno Henrique 30. Cacau . Gogo J. 28. Gustavo 27. Iury 12. Jefferson Paulino (G) 14. Joao Rafael 6. Luiz Henrique 29. Murilo Cosmo 9. Vagner Love 15. Wesley Junio
Coaches
Sued Lima
Andrade de Brito J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Francisco ⚽,
42', Julio Cesar 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diego Guerra ↓, Murilo Cosmo ↑,
46', Ericson ↓, Vagner Love ↑,
46', Lucas Sampaio ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
46', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
66', Francisco ↓, Nathan Silva ↑,
66', Iago Felipe ↓, Richardson ↑,
66', Henrique Paraiba ↓, Jalysson ↑,
70', Murilo Cosmo 🟨,
83', Italo ↓, Rychelmy ↑,
86', Vinicius Kanu ↓, Mayco Felix ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Vagner Love ⚽,
90+5', Douglas ↓, Joao Rafael ↑,
Preview
First leg.
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maguary won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Maguary won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Maguary won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
Brazil
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Juliano (G) 
Verdun M. 
Gogo J. 
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