Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Reus (Reus)


	Reus FC Reddis		Tona

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.2
	2.75	3.6	2.2
	2.31	3.42	2.63
	2.41	3.54	2.55	Watch
	2.8	3.32	2.27
	2.75	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (1.64)	3.51 ↓ (3.98)	2.51 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reus FC Reddis
37%

Draw
26.2%

Tona
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

22.8%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

24%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reus FC Reddis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reus FC Reddis's form might have worsened.

Tona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reus FC Reddis than the current prediction. (+21.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reus FC Reddis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tona than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Reus FC Reddis - Tona Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Reus FCR will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Tona will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Benito A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Reus FCR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Reus FCR is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Reus FCR won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Reus FCR won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reus FC Reddis
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
27.04.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Reus FC Reddis	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Montañesa - Reus FC Reddis	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Reus FC Reddis - Sabadell B	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	San Cristóbal - Reus FC Reddis	1:3 ✺
30.03.25	Reus FC Reddis - Girona B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWW
- UE Tona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
26.04.25	Tona - Sabadell B	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	San Cristóbal - Tona	0:4 ✺
13.04.25	Tona - Girona B	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Grama - Tona	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Tona - Prat	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
22.12.24	Tona - Reus FC Reddis	1:0
13.01.24	Reus FC Reddis - Tona	0:1

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