Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Revilla		Bezana

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.05	2.92
	2.25	3.28	2.96
	2.63	3.1	2.4
	2.54	3.28	2.42
	2.57	3.4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.91)	3.22 ↑ (3.03)	2.62 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Revilla
37.1%

Draw
28.2%

Bezana
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29.8%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

30.5%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Revilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Revilla's performance.

Bezana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Revilla than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Revilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bezana than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Revilla - Bezana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Revilla won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Revilla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Revilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bezana	5	5	0	0	11:3	8	15
8	Revilla	5	2	2	1	10:6	4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Revilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
10.01.26	Revilla - Torina	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Barquereño - Revilla	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Revilla - Noja	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Castro - Revilla	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Revilla - Cayón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWTT
- CD Bezana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
10.01.26	Guarnizo - Bezana	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Bezana - Colindres	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Selaya - Bezana	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Bezana - Laredo	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético Albericia - Bezana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
06.09.25	Bezana - Revilla	1:0
05.04.25	Bezana - Revilla	4:1
24.11.24	Revilla - Bezana	1:2
13.01.24	Bezana - Revilla	0:2
14.02.21	Revilla - Bezana	0:2
23.03.19	Bezana - Revilla	3:0

Revilla - Bezana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide