Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Revilla		Cayón

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.15	1.95
	3.66	3.22	2
	1.73	4.02	3.92	Watch
	3.62	3.15	1.97
	3.6	3.2	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.65)	3.35 ↓ (3.45)	2.36 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Revilla
30.1%

Draw
28.9%

Cayón
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

26.4%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

26.5%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Revilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Revilla's performance.

Cayón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cayón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Revilla than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Revilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cayón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Revilla - Cayón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
65', 1 - 1, Ortiz D. ⚽,
68', 1 - 2, Gomez M. ⚽,
78', 2 - 2, ⚽,
89', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Revilla won 1.

Revilla has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cayón is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cayón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cayón is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Revilla won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:21. (average 0.9:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Revilla won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Revilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
19.11.25	Revilla - Colindres	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Revilla - Escobedo	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Vimenor - Revilla	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Revilla - Tropezón	0:3 ✺
25.10.25	Cartes - Revilla	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWLLW
- CD Cayón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
23.11.25	Cayón - Guarnizo	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Colindres - Cayón	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Cayón - Selaya	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Laredo - Cayón	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Cayón - Bezana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
12.04.25	Revilla - Cayón	2:0
01.12.24	Cayón - Revilla	5:1
26.02.23	Revilla - Cayón	1:2
23.10.22	Cayón - Revilla	1:1
27.02.21	Revilla - Cayón	1:1
29.11.20	Cayón - Revilla	3:1
20.01.19	Cayón - Revilla	8:0

Revilla - Cayón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide