The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caernarfon Town 60.3%
Draw 21%
Barry Town United 18.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.3%
25.2%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.7%
24%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caernarfon Town's performance.
Barry Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barry Town United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caernarfon Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barry Town United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Thomas H. (G) 19. Bradley S. 6. Canavan J. 11. Cieslewicz A. 9. Clarke Z. 10. Evans O. 23. Marriott Ch. 7. Mendes P. 5. Mooney P. 16. Nash B. 27. Sears R.
31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 8. Barton D. 17. Cuddihy O. 7. Daley N. 20. Dugan E. 2. George M. 16. Lester J. 24. Richards W. 4. Sainty C. 21. Shaw J. 3. Williams E.
Substitutes
18. Charsley H. 21. Nyamwanza S. 15. Smith D. 17. Williams J. (G) 25. Zanzala O.
19. Bernard J. 9. Crosbie J. 6. Davies K. 41. Grinter J. 18. Jackson C. (G) 11. Schwank R.
Coaches
Davies R.
Legg A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Daley N. ⚽,
43', Dugan E. ↓, Crosbie J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Cuddihy O. 🟨,
64', Sears R. ↓, Charsley H. ↑,
64', Cieslewicz A. ↓, Zanzala O. ↑,
82', Cuddihy O. 🟨,
90+1', Canavan J. ↓, Nyamwanza S. ↑,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 6th in the Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 2.
Caernarfon is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Barry Town is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bookmakers give the edge to Caernarfon for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Caernarfon in today's match, at odds of 1.52.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Caernarfon has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:32 (averaging 1.8:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Caernarfon against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 20:14 goals (averaging 2.2:1.6 per game).
Wales
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Thomas H. (G) 
Canavan J. 
Cieslewicz A. 
Mendes P. 
Lester J. 
Charsley H. 
Zanzala O. 
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