Match Info

Cymru North - Round 13

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Belle Vue (Rhyl)


	Rhyl		Flint Mountain

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.25	3.6
	1.68	4.5	3.7
	1.72	4.30	3.87	Watch
	1.69	4.1	3.78
	1.78	4.1	3.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.78)	4.25 ↑ (4.1)	3.67 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rhyl
53.5%

Draw
21.5%

Flint Mountain
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

22.2%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

20.2%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rhyl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Flint Mountain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhyl than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rhyl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Mountain than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Rhyl - Flint Mountain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Lestrange S. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Owens K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
67', 0 - 3, Owens K. ⚽,
87', 1 - 3, Hewitt R. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 3, Lightfoot B. (Pen),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 12).

Recent performances by Rhyl have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Flint Mountain is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rhyl may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Flint Mountain has had a series of away games.

In this match, Rhyl is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPD Y Rhyl 1879
Welsh Cymru North
01.11.25	Rhyl - Penrhyncoch	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Rhyl	6:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.25	Rhyl - Brickfield Rangers	1:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
10.10.25	Rhyl - Mold Alexandra	0:3 ✺
03.10.25	Denbigh Town - Rhyl	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLL
- Flint Mountain FC
Welsh Cymru North
01.11.25	Guilsfield - Flint Mountain	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Penrhyncoch - Flint Mountain	1:4 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
17.10.25	Llandudno - Flint Mountain	3:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
11.10.25	Flint Mountain - Airbus UK Broughton	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Caersws - Flint Mountain	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLT

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