Match Info

Cymru North - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Penrhyncoch		Flint Mountain

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.8	2.62
	2.32	3.98	2.56	Watch
	2.02	3.72	2.99
	2.14	4	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.32)	3.88 ↓ (3.98)	2.68 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penrhyncoch
42.3%

Draw
23.6%

Flint Mountain
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

23.4%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

22.8%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penrhyncoch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Flint Mountain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Mountain than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Penrhyncoch - Flint Mountain Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Penrhyncoch (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
41', 0 - 1, Owens K. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Lestrange S. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 3, Cassidy O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 0 - 4, Owens K. ⚽,
89', 1 - 4, Phillips D. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Flint Mountain may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Penrhyncoch won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 3.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Penrhyncoch won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
11.10.25	Holywell Town - Penrhyncoch	4:1 ✺
27.09.25	Llandudno - Penrhyncoch	3:0 ✺
12.09.25	Penrhyncoch - Guilsfield	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Penrhyncoch	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Penrhyncoch - Denbigh Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTT
- Flint Mountain FC
Welsh FA Cup
17.10.25	Llandudno - Flint Mountain	3:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
11.10.25	Flint Mountain - Airbus UK Broughton	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Caersws - Flint Mountain	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Flint Mountain - Ruthin Town	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Denbigh Town - Flint Mountain	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
29.03.25	Flint Mountain - Penrhyncoch	5:1
25.03.25	Penrhyncoch - Flint Mountain	6:1

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