Match Info

Cymru North - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Belle Vue (Rhyl)


	Rhyl		Penrhyncoch

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.6	3.05
	2.04	3.95	3.04	Watch
	2.01	3.64	3.04
	1.77	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.04)	3.74 ↓ (3.95)	3.22 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rhyl
47%

Draw
24.5%

Penrhyncoch
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

23.6%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

21.6%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rhyl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Penrhyncoch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhyl than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rhyl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penrhyncoch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rhyl - Penrhyncoch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Parry J. ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Parry J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 3 - 0, Hodson L. ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, Coleridge N. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Rhyl has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Penrhyncoch has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Penrhyncoch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rhyl might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rhyl won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Rhyl won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPD Y Rhyl 1879
Welsh Cymru North
24.10.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Rhyl	6:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.25	Rhyl - Brickfield Rangers	1:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
10.10.25	Rhyl - Mold Alexandra	0:3 ✺
03.10.25	Denbigh Town - Rhyl	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Holywell Town - Rhyl	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLLT
- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
25.10.25	Penrhyncoch - Flint Mountain	1:4 ✺
11.10.25	Holywell Town - Penrhyncoch	4:1 ✺
27.09.25	Llandudno - Penrhyncoch	3:0 ✺
12.09.25	Penrhyncoch - Guilsfield	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Penrhyncoch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Alliance
11.01.19	Penrhyncoch - Rhyl	0:1
24.08.18	Rhyl - Penrhyncoch	3:1

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