Match Info

Date: 21 March 2021, Sunday


	Ribadumia		Arosa

	1	X	2
	5.2	2.85	1.65
	5.6	3	1.68
	5.87	2.99	1.69
	4.6	3.5	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.32 ↑ (5.2)	3.09 ↓ (4)	1.69 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ribadumia
17%

Draw
29.3%

Arosa
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

22.6%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

18.8%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ribadumia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ribadumia than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ribadumia - Arosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 1 (Relegation Group) and 2 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 1 (Promotion Group)).

Recent matches Ribadumia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arosa is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Arosa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arosa is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ribadumia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ribadumia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ribadumia CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.03.21	Ribadumia - Rápido de Bouzas	0:0 ✺
07.03.21	Pontellas - Ribadumia	2:2 ✺
28.02.21	Ribadumia - Barco	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Estradense - Ribadumia	2:1 ✺
17.02.21	Ribadumia - Atios	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWLW
- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.03.21	Estradense - Arosa	1:2 ✺
06.03.21	Arosa - Rápido de Bouzas	2:0 ✺
28.02.21	Atios - Arosa	0:0 ✺
21.02.21	Arosa - UD Ourense	2:0 ✺
14.02.21	Arosa - Pontellas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
23.12.18	Ribadumia - Arosa	0:4
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
01.10.17	Arosa - Ribadumia	0:0

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