Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday


	Arosa		UD Ourense

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.6
	1.96	3.05	3.8
	1.98	2.96	3.83
	1.95	3.06	3.86
	1.96	3.05	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.11)	3.02 ↑ (2.9)	3.78 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arosa
46.1%

Draw
29.9%

UD Ourense
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

31%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

31%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Arosa - UD Ourense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arosa won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Arosa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arosa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Arosa won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Arosa won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:2 (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
13.10.24	Betanzos - Arosa	2:3 ✺
06.10.24	Arosa - Polvorín	3:0 ✺
29.09.24	RC Villalbes - Arosa	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Arosa - Noia	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Viveiro - Arosa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLL
- UD Ourense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
13.10.24	UD Ourense - Atlético Arteixo	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Betanzos - UD Ourense	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	UD Ourense - Polvorín	3:2 ✺
15.09.24	RC Villalbes - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	UD Ourense - Noia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
26.05.24	Arosa - UD Ourense	1:2 ET
19.05.24	UD Ourense - Arosa	2:2
21.04.24	UD Ourense - Arosa	4:1
02.12.23	Arosa - UD Ourense	1:0
07.05.23	Arosa - UD Ourense	3:0
01.05.23	UD Ourense - Arosa	0:0
09.04.23	UD Ourense - Arosa	2:3

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