The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Richmond Kickers 33.9%
Draw 27.3%
Fort Wayne 38.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
27.7%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
27.4%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Richmond Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Fort Wayne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Richmond Kickers - Fort Wayne Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fillion Y. (G) 3. Anderson H. 4. Layton S. 2. Barnathan D. (C) 22. Vinberg S. 11. Pannholzer T. 10. Seufert N. 18. Amer A. 99. Moore D. 70. Lucca Dourado 19. Espinal D.
1. Schipmann B. (G) 6. Jordan J. 41. Musa J. 4. Dias T. (C) 13. Rempel M. 86. Armas J. 23. Thomas J. 18. Nieto E. 11. Healy T. 2. Smith J. 7. Ricol L.
Substitutes
23. Freeman T. 44. Gallegos A. 34. Howell B. 7. Johnson L. 9. Kirkland J. 26. Murana M. 12. O'Malley O. 35. Sneddon J. (G) 13. Wintsch A. (G)
10. Awoudor C. 21. Becher R. 96. Echevarria A. 12. Gafar K. 8. Garay J. 9. Oyetunde D. 5. Sproat R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
13', Barnathan D. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Thomas J. ⚽, Healy T. (A),
23', Lucca Dourado ↓, Kirkland J. ↑,
39', 0 - 2, Healy T. ⚽, Thomas J. (A),
42', Dias T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Espinal D. ↓, O'Malley O. ↑,
54', Smith J. ↓, Gafar K. ↑,
54', Ricol L. ↓, Becher R. ↑,
63', Amer A. 🟨,
65', Armas J. 🟨,
68', Musa J. ↓, Sproat R. ↑,
68', Healy T. ↓, Awoudor C. ↑,
72', Amer A. ↓, Freeman T. ↑,
72', Moore D. ↓, Murana M. ↑,
74', Thomas J. 🟨,
82', Armas J. ↓, Garay J. ↑,
83', Anderson H. ↓, Howell B. ↑,
89', Becher R. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Richmond Kickers is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Fort Wayne has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Fort Wayne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Fort Wayne
29
11
9
9
45:37
8
42
17
Richmond Kickers
29
6
5
18
30:60
-30
23
Last Results with these Odds
Richmond Kickers - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.52%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.