Match Info

USL League One

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Forward Madison		Fort Wayne

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.20	3.70
	1.87	3.25	3.70
	1.85	3.22	3.57
	1.87	3.69	3.78	Watch
	1.91	2.90	3.80
	1.90	3.50	3.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.28)	3.29 ↑ (3.2)	3.74 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forward Madison
48.3%

Draw
27.5%

Fort Wayne
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

28.2%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

28.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forward Madison's performance.

Fort Wayne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fort Wayne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forward Madison that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fort Wayne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Forward Madison - Fort Wayne Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Forward Madison will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harms J. (G) 7. Bolma J. 20. Carmichael K. 33. Toure K. 4. McCamy C. 6. Kanyane G. 8. Segbers M. 12. Torres R. 17. Gebhard D. (C) 9. Carmichael R. 11. Ngoubou C.	1. Schipmann B. (G) 6. Jordan J. 19. Solis J. 4. Dias T. (C) 13. Rempel M. 8. Garay J. 12. Gafar K. 21. Becher R. 11. Healy T. 10. Awoudor C. 7. Ricol L.
Substitutes
16. Castro J. 99. Flores K. (G) 14. Gyamfi S. 28. Hildal J. 21. Karamoko H. 19. Manske T. (G) 23. Munjoma E. 18. Romanshyn K. 5. Shannon J.	86. Armas J. 96. Echevarria A. 41. Musa J. 18. Nieto E. 9. Oyetunde D. 2. Smith J. 23. Thomas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Glaeser M. 🟨,
15', Glaeser M. 🟨,
23', Toure K. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Bolma J. ⚽, Carmichael R. (A),
45', Ricol L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Ngoubou C. ↓, Gyamfi S. ↑,
56', Segbers M. ↓, Munjoma E. ↑,
56', Gebhard D. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
59', Garay J. ↓, Armas J. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Becher R. ⚽,
67', Bolma J. ↓, Karamoko H. ↑,
77', Becher R. ↓, Nieto E. ↑,
77', Awoudor C. ↓, Oyetunde D. ↑,
80', Jordan J. 🟨,
82', Gafar K. 🟨,
85', Solis J. ↓, Musa J. ↑,
86', Torres R. 🟨,
86', Gafar K. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
87', Torres R. ↓, Shannon J. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Fort Wayne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Forward Madison might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Forward Madison ✔	29	15	7	7	50:27	23	52
8	Fort Wayne	29	11	9	9	45:37	8	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forward Madison
USL League One
13.06.26	Forward Madison - Boise	5:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Indy Eleven - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
USL League One
03.06.26	Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison	1:0 ✺
29.05.26	Forward Madison - Corpus Christi	3:0 ✺
23.05.26	Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL
- Fort Wayne FC
USL League One
10.06.26	Westchester SC - Fort Wayne	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Union Omaha - Fort Wayne	4:2 ✺
USL League One
30.05.26	Fort Wayne - AV Alta	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Boise - Fort Wayne	1:3 ✺
20.05.26	Fort Wayne - Corpus Christi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLTWT

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