The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Union Omaha 51.9%
Draw 24.8%
Fort Wayne 23.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.2%
24.9%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.8%
23.3%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Fort Wayne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (-1%)
Union Omaha - Fort Wayne Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Jensen C. (G) 23. Boudadi Y. 4. Owusu S. 14. Kallman B. (C) 27. Jiba R. 8. Gabriel Cabral 6. Guediri S. 28. Caceres E. 22. Tekiela K. 7. Billhardt A. 9. Botello Faz P.
1. Schipmann B. (G) 17. Neidlinger L. 4. Dias T. (C) 3. Vukovic A. 13. Rempel M. 86. Armas J. 18. Nieto E. 12. Gafar K. 11. Healy T. 10. Awoudor C. 21. Becher R.
Substitutes
77. Gavilanes A. 25. Klein T. 19. Lawrence C. 3. Malone B. 24. Nuhu R. (G) 20. Ors Navarro S. 16. Wootton L.
40. Bonnaire M. (G) 8. Garay J. 25. Jiana M. 6. Jordan J. 41. Musa J. 2. Smith J. 23. Thomas J.
Coaches
Candela V.
Avery M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Healy T. ⚽, Awoudor C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Caceres E. ↓, Wootton L. ↑,
48', Neidlinger L. 🟨,
56', Owusu S. 🟨,
57', Jiba R. ↓, Ors Navarro S. ↑,
58', Vukovic A. 🟨,
61', Neidlinger L. ↓, Jordan J. ↑,
61', Healy T. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
69', Tekiela K. ↓, Gavilanes A. ↑,
70', Vukovic A. 🟨,
76', Thomas J. ↓, Musa J. ↑,
76', Awoudor C. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
77', Armas J. 🟨,
90+1', Gafar K. ↓, Jiana M. ↑,
90+1', Gabriel Cabral 🟨,
90+2', Billhardt A. ↓, Klein T. ↑,
90+5', Schipmann B. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - USL League One Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 8th in the Promotion - USL League One Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
Union Omaha is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs Quarter~finals).
Union Omaha is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Fort Wayne has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Union Omaha could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Union Omaha carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Union Omaha in today's match, at odds of 1.51.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Union Omaha has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:2 (averaging 3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Union Omaha against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals.
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Union Omaha
32
19
5
8
54:34
20
62
9
Fort Wayne
32
12
9
11
47:42
5
45
Last Results with these Odds
Union Omaha - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 51.21%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.