Match Info

2. Liga - Round 25

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: Innviertel Arena (Ried)

Referee: Schnur J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF Sport+, ORF TVthek
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Ried		Austria Lustenau

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4.1	5.75
	1.35	4.9	8.2
	1.37	4.63	8.6
	1.38	4.51	8.42	Watch
	1.37	5.03	7.04	Watch
	1.35	4.9	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.47)	4.68 ↑ (4.36)	7.7 ↑ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ried
67.8%

Draw
20.1%

Austria Lustenau
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

21.4%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

20.2%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Austria Lustenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Lustenau than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Ried - Austria Lustenau Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Ried (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ried will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ried will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ried (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leitner A. (G) 31. Wohlmuth F. 23. Sollbauer M. 30. Steurer O. 21. Bumberger D. 12. Bajic A. 8. Rasner M. 26. Mayer J. 10. Grosse M. 19. Berger D. 17. Pomer P.	27. Schierl D. (G) 7. Gmeiner F. 31. Maak M. (C) 3. William Rodrigues 21. Rouquette A. 12. Mikic L. 8. Gorzel N. 23. Grabher P. 32. Lahne J. 15. Cisse N. 9. Chabbi S.
Substitutes
3. Agbenyenu L. 43. Celic N. 28. Eza W. 7. Marinsek N. 18. Rossdorfer F. 29. van Wyk A. 77. Wimmer F. (G)	17. Au Yeong D. 19. Delaye S. 24. Diarra S. 22. Eyamba J. 5. Matzler L. 29. Nesler-Taubl S. (G) 26. Ouattara I.
Coaches
Senft M.	Mader M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Grosse M. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Grosse M. ⚽, Bajic A. (A),
45', 1 - 1, William Rodrigues ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Rasner M. 🟨,
55', Rasner M. ↓, Eza W. ↑,
55', Berger D. ↓, van Wyk A. ↑,
55', Pomer P. ↓, Celic N. ↑,
61', Lahne J. ↓, Au Yeong D. ↑,
62', Mayer J. ↓, Marinsek N. ↑,
65', Grosse M. ↓, Rossdorfer F. ↑,
79', Rouquette A. ↓, Ouattara I. ↑,
79', Mikic L. ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
87', Bajic A. 🟨,
88', Chabbi S. ↓, Eyamba J. ↑,
88', Cisse N. ↓, Matzler L. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ried won 1.

Ried is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Austria Lustenau is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Ried have a series of guest games.

Recently Austria Lustenau have a series of home games.

In this match Ried is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Ried: Eza W. (Ankle Injury) Sane S. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Austria Lustenau: Berger T. (Knee Injury) Schachner L. (Ankle Injury) Voisine R. (Red Card)

Our prediction for today's Ried to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ried won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18:9 (average 1.4:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Ried won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:5 (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Ried
Austrian 2 Liga
18.04.25	St. Pölten - Ried	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Rapid Wien II - Ried	0:5 ✺
04.04.25	Ried - Amstetten	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	ASK Voitsberg - Ried	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.03.25	LASK Linz - Ried	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTWT
- Austria Lustenau
Austrian 2 Liga
18.04.25	Austria Lustenau - Liefering	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Austria Lustenau - Admira	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Sturm Graz B - Austria Lustenau	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Austria Lustenau - Kapfenberger SV	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.03.25	Austria Lustenau - St. Gallen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
18.10.24	Austria Lustenau - Ried	1:1
Austrian Bundesliga
06.05.23	Austria Lustenau - Ried	2:2
29.04.23	Ried - Austria Lustenau	4:4
23.10.22	Austria Lustenau - Ried	0:0
30.07.22	Ried - Austria Lustenau	1:0
Austrian 2 Liga
28.02.20	Ried - Austria Lustenau	1:0
02.08.19	Austria Lustenau - Ried	1:1

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