Match Info

Bundesliga - Relegation Group - Round 32

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Cashpoint-Arena (Altach)

Referee: Greinecker M. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
World	Onefootball


	Rheindorf Altach		Ried

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	5	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.7
	1.7	3.7	5.26
	1.72	3.61	5.13	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.8
	1.73	3.88	4.86	Watch
	2.65	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.65)	3.6 ↑ (3)	4.63 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rheindorf Altach
52.6%

Draw
26.7%

Ried
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30.6%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

30.1%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rheindorf Altach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rheindorf Altach's performance.

Ried has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ried might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rheindorf Altach than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rheindorf Altach that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ried than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ried could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Rheindorf Altach - Ried Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Altach will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Ried will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altach: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ried (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Ried (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Ried (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ried (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stojanovic D. (G) 17. Jager L. (C) 23. Zech B. 16. Rahmani R. 25. Ingolitsch S. 6. Demaku V. 8. Bahre M. 29. Ouedraogo M. 28. Massombo Y. 11. Hrstic S. 18. Greil P.	1. Leitner A. (C) 14. Weissenbacher P. 23. Sollbauer M. 30. Steurer O. 3. Scherzer J. 6. Maart Y. 8. Rasner M. 15. Boguo J. 19. Nasrawe J. 24. Wernitznig C. 9. Sane S.
Substitutes
31. Antosch D. (G) 21. Benjamin P. 10. Diawara O. 20. Gorgon A. 5. Gugganig L. 9. Mustapha S. 14. Oswald M. 30. Scherf E. (G) 26. Yalcin E.	12. Bajic A. 28. Bajlicz N. 5. Havenaar N. 36. Kostenbauer M. (G) 26. Mayer J. 7. Mutandwa K. 17. Pomer P. 29. van Wyk A. 40. Zeqiri L.
Coaches
Zaric O.	Senft M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Rasner M. 🟨,
31', Greil P. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Greil P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sane S. ↓, Mutandwa K. ↑,
46', Boguo J. ↓, van Wyk A. ↑,
48', Sollbauer M. 🟨,
57', Weissenbacher P. ↓, Bajlicz N. ↑,
57', Maart Y. ↓, Zeqiri L. ↑,
67', Sollbauer M. ↓, Havenaar N. ↑,
68', Rasner M. 🟨,
75', 2 - 0, Massombo Y. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Demaku V. ↓, Gugganig L. ↑,
80', Hrstic S. ↓, Gorgon A. ↑,
90+1', Greil P. ↓, Benjamin P. ↑,
90+1', Massombo Y. ↓, Oswald M. ↑,
90+4', Steurer O. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Altach won 2.

Altach is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ried has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Altach is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Altach: Fetahu A. (Inactive) Idrizi B. (Knee Injury) Milojevic F. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Ried: Aisowieren E. E. (Injury) Wimmer F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Ried: Nasrawe J. (Injury) Rossdorfer F. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Altach won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Altach won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ried	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11
12	Altach	7	1	0	6	5:12	-7	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rheindorf Altach
Austrian Bundesliga
09.05.26	Grazer AK - Rheindorf Altach	2:2 ✺
04.05.26	Rheindorf Altach - Wolfsberger	1:4 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
01.05.26	LASK Linz - Rheindorf Altach	4:2 ET ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
24.04.26	Blau-Weiss Linz - Rheindorf Altach	3:0 ✺
21.04.26	Rheindorf Altach - Swarovski Tirol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLLT
- SV Ried
Austrian Bundesliga
09.05.26	Ried - Wolfsberger	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Ried - Blau-Weiss Linz	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Swarovski Tirol - Ried	1:0 ✺
21.04.26	Ried - Grazer AK	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Grazer AK - Ried	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
03.04.26	Ried - Rheindorf Altach	3:2
13.12.25	Ried - Rheindorf Altach	3:0
09.08.25	Rheindorf Altach - Ried	1:0
19.05.23	Ried - Rheindorf Altach	0:1
22.04.23	Rheindorf Altach - Ried	1:1
12.03.23	Rheindorf Altach - Ried	1:2
02.10.22	Ried - Rheindorf Altach	2:3

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