Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Oepping (Oepping)


	Ried		Žilina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	4	2.8	Watch
	2.29	3.86	2.58
	2.21	3.91	2.63	Watch
	2.15	3.74	2.74	Watch
	2.33	3.9	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (3.05)	3.88 ↑ (3.86)	2.66 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ried
41.5%

Draw
23.8%

Žilina
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

23.8%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

22.7%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ried's performance.

Žilina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Žilina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ried that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žilina than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Žilina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ried - Žilina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leitner A. (G) . Berger D. 21. Bumberger D. 5. Havenaar N. 47. Mankowski A. 26. Mayer J. 20. Rasner M. 18. Rossdorfer F. 11. Sane S. 19. Sollbauer M. 30. Steurer O.	22. Belanik S. (G) 13. Badjie B. 20. Bari K. 24. Datko S. 33. Drame B. 21. Hranica T. 5. Jasso T. 28. Javorcek S. 7. Kosa F. 3. Mynar M. 18. Stojchevski A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Berger D. ⚽,
35', Jasso T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Sane S. ⚽,
59', Jasso T. 🟨,
64', Drame B. 🟨,
72', Javorcek S. 🟨,
79', 3 - 0, Berger D. ⚽,

Preview

Ried in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Žilina is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Žilina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Žilina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ried won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Ried won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Ried
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Jahn Regensburg - Ried	3:4 ✺
28.06.24	Ried - Universitatea Cluj	1:1 ✺
21.06.24	Ried - Wacker Burghausen	3:2 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
25.05.24	Ried - Dornbirn	1:0 ✺
20.05.24	Lafnitz - Ried	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTWWW
- MSK Žilina
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Sigma Olomouc - Žilina	2:0 ✺
03.07.24	Žilina - MFK Košice	3:0 ✺
29.06.24	Győri ETO - Žilina	3:0 ✺
26.06.24	Baník Ostrava - Žilina	1:1 ✺
Slovak Superliga
18.05.24	Žilina - DAC Dunajská Streda	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.06.16	Ried - Žilina	2:1
22.06.12	Ried - Žilina	1:0

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