Match Info

AUSTRIA: 2. Liga - Round 30

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Innviertel Arena (Ried)

Referee: Spurny J. (Aut)


	Ried		Dornbirn

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.41	4.75	5.75
	1.4	5	6.5
	1.46	5.65	5.5
	1.46	5.65	5.12
	1.3	5	7
	1.4	5.15	6.37	Watch
	1.39	5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.4)	5.17 ↓ (5.87)	5.98 ↑ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ried
66.4%

Draw
18%

Dornbirn
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

15.9%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

15.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ried has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Dornbirn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ried than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dornbirn than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	7.7%	61.5%

Ried - Dornbirn Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ried will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Dornbirn will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dornbirn: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leitner A. (G) 21. Bumberger D. 13. Schendl S. 5. Havenaar N. 4. Ziegl M. 26. Mayer J. 14. Beganovic B. 30. Steurer O. 12. Bajic A. 9. Grosse M. 43. Celic N.	1. Odehnal J. (G) 5. Marceta D. 17. Marte R. 18. William Rodrigues 20. Umjenovic S. 29. Rusch L. 8. Santin S. 10. Nussbaumer L. 27. Mandl F. 39. Bitsche N. 9. Tanque R.
Substitutes
3. Agbenyenu L. 23. Malic A. 7. Marinsek N. 36. Matosevic M. 11. Seufert N. 33. Wendlinger J. (G) 44. Wiesinger N.	6. Brilhante G. 15. Mateusinho 11. Mayr M. 14. Mischitz S. 30. Popovic L. 12. Renan 36. Schulz F. (G)
Coaches
Senft M.	Orie E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Ziegl M. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
36', Mayer J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Malic A. ↓, Agbenyenu L. ↑,
46', William Rodrigues ↓, Mischitz S. ↑,
61', Marte R. ↓, Popovic L. ↑,
62', Mandl F. ↓, Mateusinho ↑,
62', Mayer J. ↓, Marinsek N. ↑,
62', Rusch L. 🟨,
68', Schendl S. 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, Agbenyenu L. ⚽, Bajic A. (A),
78', Tanque R. ↓, Renan ↑,
80', Schendl S. ↓, Matosevic M. ↑,
84', Bitsche N. ↓, Mayr M. ↑,
90+3', Renan 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Ried could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ried is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ried to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ried won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Ried won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Ried
Austrian 2 Liga
20.05.24	Lafnitz - Ried	0:4 ✺
17.05.24	Ried - Sturm Graz B	1:0 ✺
10.05.24	St. Pölten - Ried	0:4 ✺
05.05.24	First Vienna - Ried	2:1 ✺
26.04.24	Ried - Amstetten	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW
- FC Dornbirn 1913
Austrian 2 Liga
20.05.24	Dornbirn - Leoben	2:1 ✺
17.05.24	Dornbirn - St. Pölten	3:1 ✺
11.05.24	Floridsdorfer AC - Dornbirn	1:1 ✺
03.05.24	Dornbirn - Kapfenberger SV	1:3 ✺
27.04.24	Sturm Graz B - Dornbirn	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
25.11.23	Dornbirn - Ried	0:2
30.11.19	Dornbirn - Ried	0:5
24.11.19	Ried - Dornbirn	4:0

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