Match Info

Virsliga - Round 21

Date: 29 June 2026, Monday

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Auda Riga		Riga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	4.40	1.43
	6.10	4.50	1.38	Watch
	7.08	4.58	1.45
	6.73	4.91	1.39	Watch
	7.00	4.40	1.41
	6.09	4.16	1.50	Watch
	5.80	4.40	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.29 ↑ (3.96)	4.48 ↑ (3.65)	1.43 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auda Riga
14.7%

Draw
20.6%

Riga
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

24.8%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

25%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Auda Riga's form might have worsened.

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Riga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Auda Riga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Riga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5%	25%	70%

Auda Riga - Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Auda will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Riga will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riga: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Riga (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Riga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Purins N. (G) 2. Hrvoj T. 6. Kragliks R. 4. Ouedraogo M. 22. Ogunji A. 14. Ibrahim H. 17. Daskevics E. (C) 18. Arroyo A. 8. Bongemba E. 47. Kone K. 46. Gerold J.	91. Orols F. (G) 13. Jurkovskis R. (C) 21. Musah B. 33. Paulo Eduardo 23. Tonisevs M. 40. Ankrah A. 22. Diop M. 4. Galo O. 8. Iago Siqueira 7. Aouani R. 19. Badamosi M.
Substitutes
40. Appiah A. 80. Aranda S. 25. Diedhiou B. 23. Fofana M. 10. Fofana W. 26. Lusweki H. 77. Minins J. 71. Rubenis O. 1. Sturins R. (G)	99. Caio Ferreira 34. Cernomordijs A. 70. Juan Christian 44. Kazainis M. (G) 18. Oulad M'Hand S. 11. Pena B. 17. Salazar A. 5. Wassom K. 1. Zviedris K. (G)
Coaches
Zanetti D.	Gula A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Badamosi M. ⚽,
31', Kragliks R. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 2, Badamosi M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hrvoj T. ↓, Rubenis O. ↑,
61', Iago Siqueira ↓, Oulad M'Hand S. ↑,
67', Gerold J. ↓, Diedhiou B. ↑,
68', Kone K. ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
72', Jurkovskis R. 🟨,
76', Diop M. ↓, Caio Ferreira ↑,
79', Ibrahim H. ↓, Fofana W. ↑,
79', Daskevics E. ↓, Lusweki H. ↑,
86', Galo O. ↓, Wassom K. ↑,
86', Aouani R. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
90', Appiah A. 🟨,
90', Caio Ferreira 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auda won 1.

Recent performances by Auda have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Riga is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Riga is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Auda won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 11:43. (average 0.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Auda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 6:22. (average 0.6:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Riga FC	32	23	7	2	88:30	58	76
3	Auda ✔	32	19	7	6	52:32	20	64

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga
25.06.26	Grobiņa - Auda Riga	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Super Nova - Auda Riga	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Auda Riga - Jelgava	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Auda Riga - Ogre United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWLTW
- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
25.06.26	BFC Daugavpils - Riga	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Riga - Liepāja	4:0 ✺
17.06.26	Riga - RFS	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Ogre United - Riga	1:4 ✺
29.05.26	Riga - Grobiņa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
12.05.26	Riga - Auda Riga	4:1
20.03.26	Auda Riga - Riga	1:2
Latvian Cup
29.10.25	Riga - Auda Riga	1:2
Latvian Virsliga
13.09.25	Riga - Auda Riga	6:0
27.06.25	Auda Riga - Riga	1:3
05.05.25	Auda Riga - Riga	1:3
10.03.25	Riga - Auda Riga	2:2

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